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Iran hardliners cite Trump-Zelensky White House debacle to oppose talks

Maryam Sinaiee
Maryam Sinaiee

Iran International

Mar 1, 2025, 14:24 GMT+0
US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenski at the Oval Office, March 1, 2025
US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenski at the Oval Office, March 1, 2025

Iranian hardliners claim that Friday’s controversial meeting between the US and Ukrainian presidents validates Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s opposition to negotiations with the United States.

Referring to Khamenei’s early February speech, where he said negotiations with the Trump administration would not be “wise, expedient, or dignified,” they argue that Trump's confrontational exchange with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in the Oval Office should serve as a warning to those who question Khamenei’s stance.

“Can an Iranian even imagine our president in Zelensky’s position?” Abdollah Ganji, a former editor of the IRGC-linked Javan newspaper, wrote in an X post, referencing Trump’s remark during the meeting that Zelensky was in no position to dictate terms because he didn’t have the right cards in hand.

Khamenei’s political adviser and former secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, Ali Shamkhani, shared photos of Khamenei’s June 2019 meeting with the late Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, during which Khamenei refused to accept a message Abe was delivering from Trump.

On social media, hardliners and ultra-hardliners have also extensively highlighted Khamenei’s warnings in the past about direct talks with the United States and his criticism of Trump for not abiding by the commitments the US had made in the 2015 JCPOA nuclear deal and re-imposition of sanctions on Iran in 2018.

Incident disappoints advocates of talks with US

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said in a speech on Thursday that Tehran was open to talks with Washington but would not “bow to bullies.” However, he also stressed that without the lifting of US sanctions, there could be no economic improvement.

Following Friday’s Oval Office incident, some reformist politicians and commentators—who have generally supported direct talks with the United States—also voiced skepticism about the viability of negotiations with the Trump administration.

Mohammad-Ali Abtahi, a former vice president under reformist President Mohammad Khatami, dismissed negotiations with Trump as futile. “Trump and the America of Trump are not parties we can negotiate with,” he tweeted. “Imagine Pezeshkian sitting across from him—talking to this man won’t help the Iranian people.”

Reformist commentator Fayyaz Zahed condemned Trump’s public rebuke of Zelensky, likening it to “a return to the era of imperialism.” He remarked, “The real America is what we are witnessing.”

Former political prisoner Hossein Ronaghi's tweeted:

Calls for strategic decision-making

Despite the backlash, some Iranian analysts argue that the incident underscores the urgency of determining when and how to engage in negotiations with the US before Iran loses all bargaining power.

“The humiliating exchange between Zelensky and Trump proved that negotiations must happen while there are still cards left to play,” argued Diako Hosseini, a political commentator and deputy chairman of the Tehran Chamber of Commerce, in an X post. “One should never enter talks under any other circumstances.”

In a lengthy thread, Mohammad Rahbari, another political commentator in Tehran, argued that the lesson Iran should take from the standoff between Trump and Zelensky for Iran is to look at international relations from a different perspective in the current circumstances. Warning against “obstinacy,” he argued that Iran should remain cautiously open to negotiations to avoid “falling victim to bigger powers.”

"Trump has not, and will not, pursue abstract goals... He knows how to calculate and knows numbers. Smart behavior towards him means proposals that are of mutual benefit, precise and clear!" Ali Asghar Sahfieian, managing director of the reformist news website Ensaf News, argued in a tweet.

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Iranian pro-reform daily urges president to negotiate with US

Mar 1, 2025, 11:21 GMT+0

A Tehran-based pro-reform newspaper called on president to take concrete steps toward negotiations with the United States, arguing that rhetoric alone will not resolve Iran’s economic crisis.

Responding to Masoud Pezeshkian’s remarks on Thursday saing,"We will not bow to bullies. We should not fear what they plan to do with sanctions. Some say we have no choice but to negotiate"—the reformist daily Ham Mihan questioned his approach.

"You say you don't shy away from dialogue—so why not put the ball in the opponent’s court?" the editorial argued. It urged the president to work toward halting the Trump administration's escalating sanctions, establish a negotiation agenda, and set a clear timeframe for talks.

The newspaper dismissed the notion that negotiating with the US equates to surrender, writing, "If they [the US] act like bullies and demand more than they offer, then inform the people and reject their terms. Otherwise, negotiations will yield results. Those who argue that we have no choice but to negotiate are not advocating surrender—because surrender requires no negotiation."

The debate over talks with the United States comes as Iran faces increasing economic pressure. In February, US President Donald Trump reinstated sanctions under his “maximum pressure” policy, calling for a deal that would permanently prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons.

More recently, Trump signed a directive aiming to reduce Iran’s oil exports to zero, arguing that Tehran cannot be allowed to have a nuclear weapon and must make a deal.

"I would prefer a deal with Tehran to an Israeli attack on their nuclear sites," he said after signing the memorandum that reinstated the sanctions.

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has dismissed engagement with Trump, calling negotiations "not wise, expedient, or dignified."

Beyond foreign policy, Ham Mihan also examined Pezeshkian’s economic promises, particularly his statement that "If shares are to be allocated, they should go to those truly in need, not to the wealthy."

These are good words, wrote Ham-Mihan. “So why hasn’t it been implemented? You have repeated it several times already. Moreover, your proposed national budget contradicts this notion of justice. You have increased salaries at half the rate of inflation.”

On Pezeshkian’s comments that "we are not afraid; we will stay and build the country with strength," Ham Mihan argued that fear is sometimes necessary.

"People are afraid. Officials should also be afraid. We should fear the people becoming angry. We should fear that some are unable to secure a dignified life... We should fear being unable to provide water and electricity for the people, leading to factory closures and even government shutdowns."

Iran continues to struggle with mounting economic and social crises, exacerbated by years of sanctions, government mismanagement, and public unrest. The 2022 protests, sparked by the death of Mahsa Amini in police custody, evolved into broader demonstrations against political repression and economic hardship. The government’s crackdown further eroded trust in state institutions.

The national currency has suffered a dramatic collapse, with the rial recently surpassing 940,000 per US dollar. Inflation remains persistently high, driving up the cost of food, housing, and healthcare. Energy shortages have worsened the crisis, with rolling blackouts disrupting industries and daily life.

The editorial concluded by warning Pezeshkian that rhetoric alone will not satisfy public expectations: " Let us fear that people pin their hopes on us, only for us to disappoint them and make them turn away. In fact, more than anything, we are in need of fear."

Tehran won’t bow to bullies but is open to talks, president says

Feb 28, 2025, 14:10 GMT+0

Tehran is open to talks with Washington but will not be bullied into them, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has said, sounding a positive note on negotiations even after the country's Supreme Leader rejected the idea this month.

"We never said we won’t talk, but we shouldn’t bow to bullies," Pezeshkian said Thursday.

"Why should someone on the other side of the world make a statement, and we react with fear?" he added, in an apparent reference to US President Donald Trump.

"We are not afraid; we will stay, we will build, and we will build with strength. This is what we believe in."

Iran's ultimate decision-maker Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei this month rejected talks with Trump, calling them "not wise, intelligent or honorable."

In recent weeks, several Iranian officials, including the foreign minister and the government spokesperson, have echoed the position that Iran sees no point in talks while US sanctions remain in full force.

"Iran's position in the nuclear talks is completely clear, and we will not negotiate under pressure and sanctions," Abbas Araghchi said earlier this week. "There is no possibility of direct negotiations between us and the United States as long as maximum pressure is applied in this manner."

However, perspectives within Iran’s establishment vary. Ahmad Bakhshayesh, a member of the Iranian Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, indicated that negotiations were no longer on the table.

Bakhshayeh said Iran’s increased military budget submitted by Pezeshkian to parliament in October reflects a shift away from diplomatic engagement.

The renewed debate follows US President Donald Trump’s decision earlier this month to restore the "maximum pressure" campaign of sanctions on Iran from his first term.

His move revived a hardline strategy aimed at crippling Iran’s economy, particularly its oil exports, which had been severely restricted following Washington’s 2018 withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA).

Trump’s latest directive aims to further reduce Iran’s oil exports, a key source of revenue, to zero.

Tehran cannot be allowed to have a nuclear weapon and must make a deal, Trump has argued. "I would prefer a deal with Tehran to an Israeli attack on their nuclear sites," he said after signing the memorandum that reinstated the sanctions.

Meanwhile, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov recently visited Tehran following high-level discussions between Moscow and Washington in Saudi Arabia.

While the exact details of the discussions remain unclear, some Iranian media outlets have cautioned that Russia may not be a reliable partner and could adjust its stance based on shifting geopolitical priorities, speculating that Lavrov may have made concessions regarding Iran’s position.

While the Trump administration has engaged in talks with Moscow to end the war in Ukraine, it has maintained a hardline approach toward Iran, demanding a reversal of Tehran's nuclear, military and regional policies.

At the same time, Washington has hinted at a shared strategic interest with Moscow in preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons.

Speaking to independent journalist Catherine Herridge, Senator Marco Rubio said last week, “There are things we could cooperate on geopolitically,” adding, “I’m not sure the Russians are fans of the Iranian regime having nuclear weapons.”

Calls for US talks grow as Khamenei adviser urges 'maximum patience'

Feb 28, 2025, 13:50 GMT+0
•
Behrouz Turani

While a senior adviser to Iran's Supreme Leader rejected talks with the United States and urged Iranians to exercise "maximum patience" in response to US "maximum pressure," others called for restraint and diplomacy.

The diversity of views suggests the ruling establishment has yet to either decisively welcome or reject US President Donald Trump's overture for diplomacy.

Iranian media quoted Kamal Kharrazi, chairman of the Strategic Council of Foreign Relations that advises Ayatollah Khamenei, as saying to Iraq's al-Yum newspaper that "US and Israel's pressure will not stop Iran's nuclear program" and ruled out negotiations with Washington "as long as America's unilateralism" continues.

At the congress of the Reformist Mardom Salari Party on the same day, Jalil Rahimi Jahanabadi criticized the government's and parliament’s decision-making, saying it has not solved any problem. He urged Tehran to "avoid challenging regional and global powers, as this can be costly for Iran."

He explained that "Trump has questioned all the democratic standards of the West and we need to run the country's affairs in this situation."

Meanwhile, he warned Iran's hardliners against challenging President Masoud Pezeshkian, cautioning that "if he is undermined, there will be no one left to address the country's problems."

In a separate development on the same day, prominent Reformist Behzad Nabavi cautioned the government that "Iran's economic situation is dire, and the country cannot afford to delay negotiations with the United States for another four years" until Trump leaves the White House.

However, according to the Iranian Labor News Agency (ILNA), Nabavi acknowledged that while Iran's economic crisis requires urgent action, Tehran cannot rush into negotiations with Trump.

He proposed that Iran should first engage in talks with Europe to gradually ease the sanctions that have devastated the economy. "At the same time, we need to reach a cease-fire with the United States," ILNA quoted him as saying. However, he did not specify what Europe could offer Iran or how Tehran could persuade Trump to wait until it is ready for negotiations.

President Donald Trump reinstated his “maximum pressure” sanctions on Iran in February, demanding a deal that would permanently prevent Tehran from acquiring nuclear weapons.

However, Nabavi noted that a short-term solution for Iran's problems requires lifting the sanctions, but if that is not possible Tehran should resort to rationing foodstuff and essential commodities to limit the impact of sanctions.

As Iran’s currency has fallen by around 50% since September, prices of essential necessities have skyrocketed in recent weeks and more inflation is expected in the coming months. The overall consensus in the Iranian media is that the country faces harsh challenges and the government seems unable to find more money to finance imports.

In a related development, conservative daily Jomhouri Eslami cautioned Iranian officials against trusting Russia.

Following Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov's visit to Tehran, the newspaper warned, "We cannot make yet another mistake. Do not trust Russia!"

The daily argued that it would be a mistake for Iran's foreign ministry to trust a foreign power that "has proven unreliable" in past experiences, including during nuclear negotiations, the Ukraine war, Syria before Assad's fall, and disputes over Iran's ownership of three Persian Gulf islands.

Jomhouri Eslami suggested that contrary to official statements, Lavrov's visit was linked to a major deal between the United States and Russia and could impact the future of Iran-US relations.

The editorial also criticized Iran's state-run news agencies for their "misleading reporting practices," accusing them of focusing on irrelevant details rather than the substantive outcomes of talks with foreign officials. It warned that this approach "erodes public trust in Iranian media" and drives audiences to seek news about Iran from foreign outlets, calling this shift "a significant loss."

Why Khamenei’s clerics look for the crescent moon on Friday

Feb 28, 2025, 09:30 GMT+0
•
Maryam Sinaiee

Hundreds of Iranian clerics will scan the skies with binoculars on Friday evening, perched atop hills or aboard airplanes, with a single mission: to report the sighting of the crescent moon to the country's Supreme Leader.

Ali Khamenei will use reports of the new crescent moon sighting—hilal in Arabic—from various regions of the country on Friday or Saturday to determine the start date of this year’s Islamic fasting month of Ramadan.

According to Kazem Kukaram, spokesperson for Iran's Amateur Astronomy Society, the chances of spotting the crescent moon on Friday evening are slim.

Given its position in the sky, the moon will be visible for only about fifteen minutes after sunset—weather permitting. As a result, Ramadan is unlikely to start on Saturday, meaning Sunday will most likely mark the beginning of the holy month.

Shia grand ayatollahs, both in Iran and abroad, traditionally insist that the crescent moon must be sighted with the naked eye for the observation to be considered valid.

Yet, Khamenei and other grand ayatollahs allow the use of binoculars and other simple optical devices for moon-sighting, diverging from traditional Shia practice, which rejects modern astronomical calculations and advanced telescopes in determining the lunar calendar.

Khamenei’s special taskforce

Since becoming the Islamic Republic's Supreme Leader in 1989, Khamenei has maintained a dedicated moon-sighting taskforce.

Initially composed of 700 members in 150 groups, this year’s reports indicate that 100 groups have been deployed across the country.

Taskforce members, primarily clerics well-versed in Islamic moon-sighting criteria, will repeat this process at the end of Ramadan to determine the holiday of Eid al-Fitr.

The official declaration of Eid and Khamenei's customary sermon during Eid prayers in Tehran are broadcast on state-run radio and television.

However, disagreements occasionally occur. The most notable recent instance was in May 2020, when several grand ayatollahs, using their own criteria, declared a different date for Eid. This resulted in multiple separate Eid prayers instead of a unified, state-sponsored gathering.

In recent years, there has reportedly been pressure on other grand ayatollahs to follow Khamenei's lead on the matter of beginning and end of Ramadan to reinforce the Supreme Leader's religious and political authority. 

The impact of Ramadan on daily life in Iran

While some people fast from dawn to dusk, others must be careful not to break the fasting month regulations, including a ban on eating, drinking, and smoking in all public spaces, including inside private vehicles, even if they are exempted from fasting by medical or other reasons.

Law enforcement agencies strictly enforce these rules, with violators facing penalties ranging from 10 days to two months in prison or up to 74 lashes under Iran’s Islamic Penal Code.

Restaurants, cafes, and street vendors are barred from serving customers before sunset. Businesses that fail to comply face serious consequences including temporary closure and cash fines. Some establishments have been allowed to discreetly offer take-away food over the last years.

Ramadan and Norouz holidays coincide

As in the past two years, Ramadan will partly coincide with the ancient Iranian New Year holidays—Norouz in Persian.

This overlap occurs because Iran follows a solar calendar, while the Islamic calendar is lunar and approximately ten days shorter each year.

In recent times, many ordinary Iranians have been deeply impacted by severe economic hardship. The overlap of Ramadan and Norouz is expected to further strain the hospitality industry and other businesses, many of which are already on the brink of bankruptcy due to a sharp decline in people's ability to afford travel and dining out during the Norouz holidays.

Iran to raise diesel prices in politically sensitive move

Feb 28, 2025, 08:29 GMT+0

The Iranian government will raise diesel prices starting next month, Iran International has learned, in a move which could stoke unrest as economic malaise mounts.

Diesel will be sold at market rates, and a significant portion of government subsidies will be eliminated.

An executive directive outlining the changes has already been drafted and awaits official approval.

The change is likely to deepen the economic burden on citizens, adding to the existing strain caused by a weak currency and high inflation.

A gasoline price hike in November 2019 triggered days of nationwide protests, during which authorities deployed paramilitary forces who used overwhelming force to suppress the unrest.

At least 1,500 people were killed, according to a Reuters investigation.

Economic conditions have since worsened, with persistent high inflation pushing tens of millions of Iranians into deeper poverty.

Iran International reported in December that Iran was preparing to ease fuel subsidies in a move likely approved at the highest levels of government.

At the time, documents indicated that the monthly distribution of subsidized gasoline would be drastically cut from 87 million liters to 42.5 million liters.

Iranians had already begun noticing changes as fuel stations started installing eight-digit price displays—signaling a potential shift in pricing policies.

The diesel price increase comes as Iran’s top officials continue to discuss also a possible gasoline price hike this spring.

Sources told Iran International that security agencies are increasingly worried about the country’s growing dependence on fuel imports and its shrinking capacity to meet demand under escalating US sanctions.

Washington this week imposed a new round of sanctions targeting Iran’s oil industry, including key brokers, shipping firms, and the head of the National Iranian Oil Company.

These measures, part of the renewed "maximum pressure" campaign by the Trump administration, aim to cut Iran’s oil revenue, which remains the backbone of its economy and regional military operations.

With Iran pumping 3.2 million barrels per day as of January, the latest restrictions are expected to further strain the country’s financial and energy sectors.