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ANALYSIS

Zarif blames others for Iran’s path, but falls short

Zarif blames others for Iran’s path, but falls short

Mohammad Javad Zarif’s latest Foreign Affairs article follows a familiar pattern in his narrative: recasting Tehran’s militarization and domestic repression as reactive responses to external pressure rather than deliberate internal choices.

'Let 100 flowers bloom': what Mao, Khrushchev can tell us about Iran today

'Let 100 flowers bloom': what Mao, Khrushchev can tell us about Iran today

Tehran’s recent gestures of apparent flexibility—from looser enforcement of the hijab to an embrace of nationalist symbolism—recall moments in Communist history when a brief opening exposed risks the system ultimately moved to contain.

Mideast upheaval leaves Iran hard-pressed to regain old footholds

As the Middle East enters the final weeks of 2025, the aftershocks of two years of regional war since October 7, 2023 are yielding to a quieter, consequential realignment of regional power.

As Caspian states pursue energy growth, Iran watches

As Azerbaijan and other Caspian Sea states deepen partnerships with Western energy companies to extract more oil and gas from aging offshore fields, Iran stands apart as the only Caspian littoral country that produces no hydrocarbons from the sea at all.

Khamenei faces present crises by recasting the past

Khamenei faces present crises by recasting the past

Faced with economic crisis, social defiance and regional strain, Iran’s supreme leader Ali Khamenei continues to invoke earlier moments of “glory,” treating defeat and mismanagement as moral triumphs rather than political failures.

Building a post-oil future needs a sprint: Iran is barely walking

Building a post-oil future needs a sprint: Iran is barely walking

Most authoritative energy forecasts, including Iran’s own official estimates, agree that global oil demand will peak in the next decade and then enter irreversible decline, a frightening outlook for Tehran.

US seizure of tanker off Venezuela may squeeze Iran's shadow oil trade

US seizure of tanker off Venezuela may squeeze Iran's shadow oil trade

The seizure by US forces last week of an oil tanker in the Caribbean for allegedly transporting sanctioned oil from Iran and Venezuela may signal a policy shift that could endanger the funding of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.

Cure for Iran currency slide could be worse than the disease

Cure for Iran currency slide could be worse than the disease

Iran faces a stark choice to address a cost of living crisis: preserve subsidized exchange rates that have failed to protect purchasing power and fueled corruption or remove it and risk triggering another wave of uncontrolled inflation.

Iran is muddling through an economic mess but its luck may run out

Iran is muddling through an economic mess but its luck may run out

As diplomatic horizons narrow and domestic hardships mount, Iran appears to endure less through strategic vision than an ad hoc survival economy backed up by China, Russia and its armed allies abroad.

Holy irony: how a theocracy secularized Iran

Holy irony: how a theocracy secularized Iran

Half a century of rule built on clerical authority has secularized Iran, available data suggests, with most still believing in God but not in the theocracy.

Kish Marathon: hijab controversy or political score-settling?

Kish Marathon: hijab controversy or political score-settling?

The political storm over a marathon on Iran’s Kish Island may have started as a dispute over unveiled participants, but it now reflects a deeper struggle between a society pushing for change and institutions intent on reasserting control.

Three-way regional chess: Tehran, Ankara, Riyadh seek stability amid crisis

Three-way regional chess: Tehran, Ankara, Riyadh seek stability amid crisis

Simultaneous visits by senior Turkish and Saudi officials to Tehran last weekend were widely seen as a move by the two US allies to explore new channels to manage rising regional tensions through dialogue with Iran.

How Iran's theocratic rule takes hits but persists

How Iran's theocratic rule takes hits but persists

A lopsided war with Israel and the United States in June rattled Iran’s political order, but it survives through smarter coercion and the disarray of forces that might otherwise bring it down.

Iran's distant flank in focus as US piles pressure on Venezuela

Iran's distant flank in focus as US piles pressure on Venezuela

Tehran warily watches events in the Caribbean as its ally Venezuela faces the largest US military deployment in the region in decades, which US officials describe as a bid to confront narco-terrorism

Why is Iran’s top brass sitting for questions?

Why is Iran’s top brass sitting for questions?

Under unprecedented strain at home and abroad after the June war, Tehran is adopting new tones and messaging to steady its own base.

A narrowed path: IAEA standoff edges Iran closer to conflict

A narrowed path: IAEA standoff edges Iran closer to conflict

The UN nuclear watchdog’s latest rebuke shows that Iran’s turn to nuclear ambiguity is deepening concerns and may accelerate an escalation that all sides insist they want to avoid.

Iran’s troubled energy sector gets an untested tsar

Iran’s troubled energy sector gets an untested tsar

President Masoud Pezeshkian has drawn fire over his decision to hand leadership over a crucial new energy body tasked with confronting an acute power crisis to a bureaucrat with no background in the sector.

Mismanagement, not drought, pushes Iran toward water bankruptcy

Mismanagement, not drought, pushes Iran toward water bankruptcy

Iran is facing one of its most severe droughts in 60 years, with more than half its plains suffering drastic groundwater depletion and the term “water bankruptcy” becoming more palpable by the day.

The end of mediation: snapback turned the page on Iran-Europe relations

The end of mediation: snapback turned the page on Iran-Europe relations

Europe is no longer a mediator but a co-architect of US-led pressure on Iran, and the relationship post-snapback is likely to harden into a more openly adversarial phase.

The islands fallout: is Iranian patriotism the West’s blind spot?

The islands fallout: is Iranian patriotism the West’s blind spot?

Europeans may have intended to pressure Tehran when they demanded last month an end to Iran’s “occupation” of the three Persian Gulf islands, but the move instead exposed how badly they misread Iran’s public mood.

Can Tehran use the Cape Town model to escape a water crisis 'Day Zero'?

Can Tehran use the Cape Town model to escape a water crisis 'Day Zero'?

As Iran’s capital Tehran endures its worst water crisis in living memory, few recent global cases offer clearer lessons than Cape Town in South Africa in 2018.

Iraq votes under watchful gaze of US and Iran

Iraq votes under watchful gaze of US and Iran

Iraq’s parliamentary election on Tuesday unfolded under the shadow of foreign influence from the United States and Iran which have for two decades vied over the future of the war-battered Arab nation.