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Iran’s Ex-President Wants Peaceful Reform, Warns of Chaos, Civil War

Iran International Newsroom
Feb 5, 2023, 17:44 GMT+0Updated: 17:54 GMT+1
Iran's former president (1997-2005) Mohammad Khatami
Iran's former president (1997-2005) Mohammad Khatami

Iran’s former reformist President Mohammad Khatami on Sunday called on the government to meet the people's demands and prevent a revolutionary change.

Khatami issued a long statement, as a few other reformists also issued their statements just days before the 44th anniversary of the Islamic Republic on February 11.

During the past days several reformist, moderate and conservative politicians in Iran, including former president Hassan Rouhani, Expediency Council member Mohammad-Reza Bahonar, former deputy Interior Minister Mostafa Tajzadeh and former Prime Minister Mir Hossein Mousavi pointed out that the government needs to surrender to demands for reforms to save the country from havoc.

However, every one of these political figures put forth his own solution which mainly revolved around amending the Constitution or ensuring its full implementation.

It was only Mousavi who called for a brand-new Constitution based on a referendum and end to ‘reformism’ as a strategy for change, but he stopped short of saying how the current political establishment should be removed first.

Mir-Hossein Mousavi, an opposition figure in Iran under house arrest since 2011
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Mir-Hossein Mousavi, an opposition figure in Iran under house arrest since 2011

Khatami who has never officially acknowledged his role as the leader of the ‘reformists’ accepted that "reforms have reached a deadlock." However, he still argued that another attempt to bring about change should pursue the path of reforms, without saying how the establishment would allow free elections or free speech.

Those opponents who demand a regime change have long argued that the Islamic Republic is not “reformable”, but politicians like Khatami who have remained loyal to the concept of an Islamic republic have never accepted that their 25-year efforts to bring about meaningful change have failed.

Jamshid Barzegar, a political analyst in Europe and a contributor to Iran International TV reacted in a series of tweets to Khatami’s statement, arguing that it is an attempt to help the regime rather than a serious plan for change. He contrasted the former president’s words with those of Mousavi and said that the latter has really parted ways with ‘reformism.’

The former president also warned that Iran is facing an all-out crisis which has its roots within the country. He further called for changes in the current constitution of the Islamic Republic to cope with the shortcomings that are visible everywhere.

An undated photo of Khatami (R) with Iran's ruler Khamenei
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An undated photo of Khatami (R) with Iran's ruler Khamenei

Others have pointed out that amending the constitution is not a solution if clerical rule is not abolished and complete freedoms are not granted.

Khatami also insisted that the general feeling in society is that the situation is bad, and Iran's enemies are taking advantage. At the same time, the government has been restricting civil liberties, he said. The result is a wide gap between the people and the government.

For the young protesters in Iran, using terms such as “enemies” would sound like repeating Khamenei’s slogans. They want to replace the Islamic Republic with a secular and democratic system, and do not believe that the United States, Europe or even Israel is an enemy.

Khatami warned that the collapse of the Islamic Republic will lead to chaos, civil war and bloodshed, an argument often used by the regime.

As his way out of the crisis he suggested strengthening national solidarity by giving a chance to all ideas, ethnic groups and religions to take part in the political dynamics through holding free and fair elections.

Khatami's third suggestion was declaring a general amnesty for all prisoners. Correcting the judicial process in Iran was his fourth suggestion. Freedom of news dissemination and supporting independent media and campaigning against all forms of corruption in the system were his fifth and sixth suggestions.

Khatami's next two suggestions were about leadership. He called for the accountability of all officials without mentioning Khamenei.

Preventing the military from intervening in political and economic affairs, changing the foreign policy, and putting an end to security organizations’ control over hiring and firing government employees were the other solutions Khatami suggested as a way out of the current crisis in Iran.

However, he did not propose a strategy or tactics to achieve these goals. It remains unclear if he would support protests or civil disobedience to force the government to relent. Short of that, many have expressed nice wishes for change, but Khamenei and his supporters have persisted in their ways of governance.

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Iran’s Security Forces Continue Arresting Journalists

Feb 5, 2023, 15:27 GMT+0

The Islamic Republic is still arresting journalists who reported the murder of Mahsa Amini, a young woman whose death in police custody sparked a nationwide protests.

Elnaz Mohammadi, the social service editor of Ham-Mihan newspaper has been arrested after being summoned to the notorious Evin prison in Tehran, reports from Tehran say.

Elnaz Mohammadi, is the twin sister of Elaheh Mohammadi, who was arrested on September 29 and is still behind bars.

Nilufar Hamedi and Elaheh Mohammadi are the two journalists who reported the death of Mahsa Amini and her funeral.

Earlier, Masoud Setayeshi, Spokesman for Judiciary had said the two detained journalists are accused of “conspiracy to commit a crime against national security and propaganda against the establishment” and their case is about to be finally decided.

Elnaz Mohammadi previously wrote on the fortieth day after Amini’s death that "No reporter attended the ceremony. When people arrived at the cemetery in Saqqez, Kordestan, no media representative was there except for those who were recording the event by their cell phones.”

The pressure on the journalists, who reported Amini’s death comes as the Islamic Republic has not yet responded to the complaint filed by her family.

Protesters In Iran Chant, Set Fire To Regime’s Propaganda Banners

Feb 5, 2023, 12:44 GMT+0

Iranian protesters chanted slogans on Saturday and held meetings with the released political prisoners, as some set fire to government street banners.

Videos received Saturday by Iran International show that people in Tehran, Shiraz, Bandar Abbas and Karaj chant "Death to the dictator" from their windows.

The destruction of banners and symbols of the Islamic Republic also continued on Saturday. A video sent from Karaj west of Tehran shows protestors set fire to images of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the founder of the Islamic Republic Ruhollah Khomeini.

Protesters also paid homage to the people killed by regime forces by visiting their graves.

A group of teachers and activists visited Keyvan Samimi, a veteran journalist recently released from prison, and expressed their support for Farhad Meysami, a political prisoner who is in a dire physical condition due to his long hunger strike.

While many Iranians have been killed by regime agents, pictures of Ali Khamenei with young girls were released Saturday to present a kind image of him.

Masih Alinejad, a well-known Iranian journalist and activist, said that Iran’s dictator is seen brainwashing young girls. It reminds me of my childhood.

“This regime took us, women of Iran, hostage from the age of seven and wrote its own ideology on our bodies. The free world must take a strong action against this child abuse,” she wrote in a tweet.

Iran Announces Partial Amnesty For Some Protest Detainees

Feb 5, 2023, 11:35 GMT+0
•
Iran International Newsroom

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has agreed to pardon some prisoners and reduce sentences for those arrested during antigovernment protests in recent months.

Government media reported Sunday that Khamenei “agreed” with a proposal made by the country’s Judiciary to take what appears to be a political move to show clemency after hundreds were killed and around 19,000 arrested.

It is not clear from the announcement how many or which prisoners will be pardoned and whose sentences will be reduced. While thousands of young and teenage protesters were arrested in street demonstrations, hundreds of political activists, journalists and writers or artists have also been detained.

In a letter Judiciary chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni Ejei sent to Khamenei young protesters are highlighted, with the caveat that they “were deceived by enemy propaganda,” and since then have expressed remorse.

Khamenei's move comes at the 44th anniversary of the Islamic Republic, as a move to rescue the image of the regime amid a grim economic crisis and mass public rejection of the political system he presides over. During five months of unrest, protesters unequivocally have been demanding regime change, not partial reforms.

Khamenei gave an early signal in the protests that government officials should label the protests as a foreign conspiracy. Since then, the protests are called “riots” and “enemies” are blamed for instigating the popular uprising. The term ‘enemy’ or ‘enemies’ refers to the United States and its allies.

Many protesters were forced under severe tortures to confess to acts that they did not commit, but they might have signed documents expressing regret. The move can be another tactic to force more dissidents to apologize and sign papers pledging to refrain from further antigovernment protests or even making critical comments.

Although Reuters reported that "tens-of-thousands" will be released, there is no such reference in the official print media. The agency probably quoted a claim made on state television.

Some of the conditions for being pardoned are mentioned in the announcement, including no record of spying for a foreign country, no connection with foreign intelligence services, not facing a charge of murder and no accusation of destroying public property.

However, if a person shared a simple video of protests on social media, the Islamic Republic’s intelligence and the Revolutionary Guard’s secret services easily label it as collaboration with a foreign enemy. There have been numerous cases of a simple social media message sent to someone abroad used against detainees as proof of espionage.

The Islamic Republic is facing a serious political deadlock, with its popularity at an all-time low around 15 percent according to recent polls and with over 8- percent of the population agreeing with regime change.

The regime is also facing serious international isolation particularly by Western countries, partly because of its violent and deadly repression, and also because of its move to supply kamikaze drones to Russia, which are being used against Ukraine.

Iranian Exiled Prince Calls For Big Turnout In Worldwide Rallies

Feb 5, 2023, 10:39 GMT+0

Exiled Prince Reza Pahalavi has called on Iranian expats to take part in rallies around the world planned for February 11, asking them to turn the event into “the most inspiring day on the calendar of Iran's revolution.”

Activists have planned mass protests for next Saturday, which coincides with the 44th anniversary of the Islamic Republic, established in February 1979.

“Many of you are preparing to participate in the rallies and marches planned for February 11... With your commitment, this revolution, which began nearly five months ago in the name of Mahsa, and for Women, Life, and Freedom, will continue undeterred in its path to bring an end to the forty-four years of oppression and misery brought upon our Iran by the calamitous events of 1979,” Pahlavi said in his statement shared on social media.

Iran has been the scene of anti-regime protests since mid-September when the 22-year-old Kurdish girl Mahsa Amini was killed in police custody for not wearing “proper hijab”.

“I invite all of you, my compatriots, to make this year’s February 11th the most inspiring day on the calendar of the Iranian revolution and with even greater solidarity and unity, to convert further support and energy to our compatriots inside Iran,” stressed Reza Pahlavi.

He went on to say that “my request to you is that…you offer a single and strong voice in support of the Iranians revolution to the media, societies, and politicians in your country.”

Talk Of Reform In Iran Signifies Quest To Reclaim Lost Legitimacy

Feb 5, 2023, 09:30 GMT+0
•
Iran International Newsroom

Amid a legitimacy crisis for Iran’s regime there are signs that reformist figures are being allowed to speak out possibly as a safety valve to save the system.

As parliamentary elections next year are on the horizon, the regime will have a hard time to have any sort of vote resembling at least a limited choice, unless it allows some reformists to run for seats.

Some conservatives acknowledge the need for essential reforms in the country's political system, and the core of the regime under Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei might consider ending the isolation it has imposed on reformists.

Influential conservative politician and a member of the Expediency Council Mohammad Reza Bahonar is one of the conservatives who has pointed out the need for reforms. Bahonar said in a recent interview: "We need a second Republic," meaning that a Constitutional Assembly should be formed to determine new boundaries for the government's authority and the people's rights.

There are indications that the regime might tolerate reform-minded candidates in the upcoming elections. Members of the press have pointed out more frequent public appearances by former President Hassan Rouhani. He recently met with a like-minded press corps of moderate and reformist journalists and media owners. Meanwhile, he has been speaking out about political issues.

Mir-Hossein Mousavi under house arrest since 2011
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Reformist Mir-Hossein Mousavi under house arrest since 2011

In one of his latest political remarks, Rouhani said that "a minority government cannot solve the country's problems." His characterization of Raisi's all conservative administration and the ultraconservative parliament as a "minority government" was reminiscent of his well-known art of tact and dry sense of humor.

There are other reform-minded contestants too for the next election. They are politicians such as Mostafa Tajzadeh who is in jail, and former Prime Minister Mir-Hossein Mousavi who has been under house arrest since 2011. However, if Khamenei is going to allow reform-minded politicians to run for key positions, he is highly unlikely to settle for anyone known to be more of a reformist than moderate conservative Hassan Rouhani.

On Saturday, February 4, Tajzadeh issued a long statement calling for constitutional reforms, i.e, preserving and beautifying the Islamic Republic.

Mostafa Tajzadeh, a former deputy minister, arrested in July 2022
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Mostafa Tajzadeh, a former deputy minister, arrested in July 2022

On the same day, Mousavi also introduced his version of a call for constitutional change, which could be summarized as holding a free and fair referendum on changing the constitution or writing a new one, if necessary, forming a constitutional assembly, holding another referendum on the assembly's ratification, establishing a political order based on rule of law and the people's will. Mousavi’s call was clearly more radical, as he declared that the regime cannot be reformed.

These developments coincide with some conservatives also emphasizing the need for reform moves to boost the regime’s legitimacy.

Conservative politician Bahonar, asking for reforms said that protests have not really ended, and warned that after the protests recede, the regime should not forget about the people's grievances and demands, although “we tend to forget about their complaints as soon as the situation calms down."

He said, as the country gets closer to a parliamentary and an Assembly of Experts election next year, “we need to remember that an election without the presence of our rivals would be meaningless.”

He called the recent protest "a hybrid war against the Islamic Republic" waged by Europe, the United States and international media and political forums. He also acknowledged the role of Iranian expats and celebrities in the protests. Nevertheless, he ignored hundreds of thousands of Iranians who took to the streets for over five months.

Bahonar said that foreigners were prompted by recent low-turnout elections to believe that the Islamic Republic has lost its “social capital.” He added that even those who take part in pro-regime demonstrations have many complaints about the performance of the President and other state officials. He further suggested that dialogue should be maintained between the people and the government and elections should be competitive.

He also pointed out that conservatives' political rivals should not be barred from elections as it was the case in parliamentary and presidential elections in 2020 and 2021. He also criticized the regime for weakening political parties over the years.