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EXCLUSIVE

Drug shortages drive a black market in Iran and cost lives

Niloufar Rostami
Niloufar Rostami

Iran International

Feb 2, 2025, 13:50 GMT+0Updated: 11:46 GMT+0

A surge in counterfeit drugs has worsened Iran’s strained medicine market, forcing many with serious conditions to rely on the black market for scarce medication.

The shortage has deepened in recent months, driving prices ever higher. More than 100 essential medications, including treatments for cancer and rare diseases, are either scarce or entirely unavailable.

While Iran has long had an underground market for imported medicine, prices have soared since late summer, and reports of counterfeit drugs are rising.

Investigations by Iran International reveal that counterfeit medications are being sold at exorbitant prices—often reaching hundreds of dollars—right in the heart of Tehran. Cancer patients, in particular, face an increasingly dire situation.

“Not only have cancer and rare disease medications become shockingly expensive, but some have completely disappeared from pharmacies and even the underground market,” a pharmacist in Tehran said on condition of anonymity. “As original medicines grow scarce, counterfeit sales have increased.”

He noted that cancer drug prices range from 150 million rials ($180) to as much as four billion ($4800).

“A breast cancer patient had to pay 900 million rials ($1,100) for just 56 pills,” the pharmacist added. “She could have had a lower-quality Indian version a bit cheaper, but she was desperate to get the best on offer. We’ve had patients selling their property to get cancer treatment for themselves or loved ones.”

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Buying drugs on the black market isn’t just costly—it’s dangerous. The pharmacist recalled a case where a patient needed Zavicefta, an antibiotic unavailable in pharmacies. Desperate, they turned to the underground market, paying 3 billion rials ($3600).

“The patient brought the drug to me and I could tell immediately it was fake. The real version comes in sealed packaging but theirs had been tampered with,” he said. “Imagine paying that much money and getting a counterfeit.”

A lawmaker on Iran’s parliamentary health committee had warned of the crisis a month earlier, reporting 116 scarce medications and predicting the number could increase tenfold within months without government intervention.

Iran International contacted several pharmacies in Tehran to inquire about various medications, and all confirmed the scarcity of imported drugs. Even major state-run pharmacies, such as 13-Aban and the Red Crescent, had limited or no stock.

Some Iran-made drugs are also becoming scarce due to shortages of raw materials and hoarding by suppliers who benefit from rising prices.

A young art student who lost her sister to leukemia shared her experience.

“My sister’s doctor prescribed German-made drugs, saying local alternatives wouldn’t be as effective and would make chemotherapy even harder. My father, two brothers, and I spent everything we had on her medication, but in the end, we lost her.”

She described the excruciating process of hunting for medication.

“For months, we visited 13 Aban and Red Crescent pharmacies every other day, only to be told they didn’t have it. We often had to buy from the black market. Some drugs, like Endoxan, we never found.”

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For patients with rare conditions like hemophilia, MPS, and SMA, the situation is even worse. Patients and their families have staged several protests outside the Health Ministry and Iran’s Food and Drug Organization.

Such medication is not produced in Iran because it is not economically viable, Hamidreza Edraki, head of Iran’s Rare Diseases Foundation, told ILNA last month. Imports are stuck in customs for so long that they often expire before reaching patients, he added.

Those in charge are yet to address the situation despite warnings from all stakeholders.

On January 28, Iran’s Health Minister Mohammad Reza Zafarghandi announced that the price cap on several drugs would have to be raised because pharmaceutical companies could no longer afford production costs.

This policy may help increase supply gradually. The impact it had on prices, however, was immediate. For those Iranians in urgent need of treatment, things are looking to get a lot worse before getting any better.

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In bitter paradox, Iran grows more polluted even as it runs low on fuel

Feb 1, 2025, 12:52 GMT+0
•
Dalga Khatinoglu

Iranians are caught in an economic and environmental catch-22 as a fuel shortage is paradoxically coinciding with an uptick in polluting greenhouse gas emissions which by the government's own admission has killed tens of thousands of people.

The dual crisis has become so severe that schools across Iran have been forced to close for 24 days in the past three months. Government offices and businesses are faring no better.

“Iran loses approximately 50,000 lives annually due to air pollution. This is the human cost of air pollution," Iran’s Health Minister Mohammadreza Zafarghandi announced.

The financial cost of air pollution in Iran is at least $12 billion annually, he added, a figure that some estimates say could rise to $20 billion.

These vast human and financial costs come alongside a significant reduction in the domestic use of cleaner fossil fuels which are set aside for profitable export abroad.

Meanwhile, Iran has ramped up the consumption of highly polluting fuels like mazut, or heavy fuel oil.

In the absence of official statistics, Iran International has found evidence that Tehran has significantly increased its exports of cleaner fuels such as natural gas, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), and kerosene while sharply increasing domestic consumption of highly polluting fuels like mazut.

The latest statistics from Turkey’s Energy Market Regulatory Authority show that in the first 11 months of last year, Turkey increased gas imports from Iran by 40%, reaching nearly 6.5 billion cubic meters. Iran also exports gas to Iraq, though no official figures on the volume are available.

Natural gas is the cleanest fossil fuel, followed by LPG (a combination of propane and butane).

Data from energy consultancy Kpler obtained by Iran International shows Iran’s LPG exports have grown significantly over the past four years, peaking at 337,000 barrels per day in 2024 or more than double the amount exported in 2020.

Radio Farda recently published a report citing a confidential Ministry of Petroleum document indicating Iran has also increased kerosene exports while nearly halving its domestic consumption.

The same document indicates that domestic mazut consumption in the first seven months of current fiscal year beginning in late March last year rose by over half compared to the same period last year.

In contrast, Iran’s exports of mazut - the most polluting fossil fuel - have been on a consistent downward trend in recent years while domestic use has surged.

Kpler data seen by Iran International shows Iran exported an average of 232,000 barrels per day of mazut last year—a 42% drop compared to 2021.

Iran has reduced its mazut exports because the mazut it produces contains 3.5% sulfur—seven times higher than the standard required for marine fuel. This high sulfur content has created significant challenges for exporting the fuel.

If Iran halted the export of cleaner fuels like natural gas or LPG, there would be no need to rely on mazut domestically, and diesel consumption would also halve.

Currently, Iran consumes around 700,000 barrels of diesel and 780,000 barrels of gasoline daily.

Greenhouse gas emissions up

According to the latest data from the Global Carbon Project, Iran’s greenhouse gas emissions in 2023 reached about 818 million tons, marking a 10% increase since 2020, a rise by nearly half since 2010 and a staggering 155% surge since 2000.

Globally, despite its relatively middling population size, Iran is the six biggest emitter of greenhouse gas.

Natural gas accounts for 70% of Iran’s energy consumption and over the past decade, Iran’s gas production and consumption grew by more than 5% annually.

However in recent years this growth has plummeted to just 2%, and the International Energy Agency reported in January that it dropped below 2% last year and was expected to shrink to just 1% in 2025.

Despite slowing gas production and mounting shortages, President Masoud Pezeshkian’s government has allocated the export of 16 billion cubic meters of gas in the upcoming fiscal year, or nearly double the amount for the target this year.

With Gen Z already lost, Tehran seeks a following in Gen Alpha

Jan 31, 2025, 21:15 GMT+0
•
Negar Mojtahedi

The clerical establishment in Tehran has lost the battle for the hearts and minds of Generation Z and hopes now to win the loyalty of Gen Alpha, Middle East analyst Holly Dagres told Iran International.

"It's really a battle of generations," said Dagres, a senior fellow at think tank the Washington Institute's Iran program.

"Gen Z, Gen Alpha as well, as they come of age, are really pushing back against the Islamic Republic's norms and they're really trying to take back their country. Whether they succeed is another thing."

Dagres, who specializes in Iranian youth and curates the newsletter the Iranist, said the Iranian government realizes they may have already lost Gen Z so are staking their hopes for staying in power on their successors.

“They've been actually looking at the next generation, which is Gen Alpha."

"When they came up with the song Salam Farmandeh or Salute Commander. Mostly when you see kids it's Gen Alpha kids that are part of the regime choirs and also they're being forced to sing it at schools."

Gen Z, or those born between 1997 and 2012, make up less than 7 percent of the population but were at the forefront of the 2022 Woman, Life, Freedom uprisings demanding women's rights and the end of the Islamic Republic.

Though the protests were largely stamped out, the generation remains restive.

“(Tehran is) having to think ahead because really they're struggling and I think the prime example of how they struggled here was the Woman, Life, Freedom uprising itself. It was led by Gen Z girls and women,” said Darges.

The Islamic Republic is thinking outside the box, appealing to Persian nationalistic motifs to form the minds and win the battle of the new generation.

“They've made a play about the Shahnameh or the Book of Kings. They're really trying to tap more into Iranian nationalism, which is much more palatable to the average Iranian, regardless of age these days than more Islamic motifs," said Dagres.

A recent viral video showcases a reporter asking Gen Zs to identify the clerics in photos they presented. The girls could not tell the difference between Iran’s current Supreme leader Ali Khamanei and the founder of the Islamic Republic Ruhollah Khomeini.

Iranian youth unable to identify founder of the Islamic Republic
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Iranian youth unable to identify founder of the Islamic Republic

The kids had no problem identifying K-pop bands and Billie Eilish, however. The moment illustrated how little interest the youth have in their rulers.

Iran’s Gen Z formed a counterculture, the opposite of what the government was trying to force onto them, consuming Western music, movies all in an underground way, Dagres said. But they are not afraid to showcase their color dyed pink hair and skateboards.

The fact that women and girls are increasingly not wearing the mandatory hijab, she said, showcases the subtle ways Iranians are resisting.

In a scene which went viral online, a group of Iranian schoolgirls raised their middle fingers at a portrait of Iran's leaders in a classroom, in another sign of sharp defiance.

Iranian schoolgirls raising their middle fingers at a portrait of Iran's leaders in a classroom.
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Iranian schoolgirls raising their middle fingers at a portrait of Iran's leaders in a classroom.

Authorities used extreme force to quell their rebellion after the death in morality police custody of a young Gen Z'er, Mahsa Jina Amini, in 2022.

Sham trials, confessions forced through torture and a wave of executions in 2022-23 claimed the lives of many of their number, including 23-year-old Mohsen Shakari and Majidreza Rahnavard, both promising youths hanged for their activism.

Declining marriage and birth rates
Gen Z is also the generation that is coming of age and often holding off on getting married and have children.

So much of that is a result of their connection to less traditional Western culture, but also high unemployment, concerns over climate change, inflation in Iran and a rejection of Islam and tradition, Dagres said.

Islamic Republic officials say that by the year 2101 the population in Iran will halve even as neighboring countries experience rising birth rates.

Iran’s once-youthful population is aging fast. That has stirred concerns over a lopsided economy and a potential healthcare collapse in the future.

The United Nations (UN) projects that by 2050 one-third of Iranians will be 60 or older, representing a three-fold increase from 2021.

Iran’s Ministry of Science has called for the removal of educational content deemed to discourage people from having children to combat declining birth rates.

The average Iranian household went from 6 per family to three and now a growing number of youths are choosing to live with their partners.

It is a phenomenon in Iran called white marriage, where two unwed people live together, replacing the traditional marriage proposal where families would help set up relationships.

The latest findings from the state-run National Population Research Institute suggest the number of registered marriages in Iran has dropped dramatically since 2011 with almost half a million marriages registered - a fall from the peak of 891,627 marriages in 2010.

The Rejuvenation of the Population and Protection of the Family (RPPF) law, enacted by the Iranian Parliament in 2021 under a directive from Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, imposes penalties for actions deemed to discourage marriage and childbearing.

Iranians struggling with depression

Depression is rife in Iran, Dagres said, with Iranians now turning to drugs like opium and alcohol which is haram or religiously banned to ease the pain. The economic hardships and day-to-day repression lead to their depressive state.

“Some of these Gen Z'ers are so desperate for a hit of alcohol because they become so addicted that they're purchasing ethanol from a pharmacy and drinking it," said Dagres.

With the demographics of Iran dramatically changing, Gen Z appears to have largely decided to seek change, and the Islamic Republic's influence over Gen Alpha has yet to be felt.

Only time will tell what sort of future the youth of Iran will achieve.

Iranian hardliners still oppose women at football matches

Jan 31, 2025, 15:30 GMT+0
•
Maryam Sinaiee

Female Iranian football fans are no longer officially banned from stadiums but religious fundamentalists still publicly rue the lifting of the four-decade-old restriction.

The ban enforced after the Islamic Revolution of 1979 was lifted in October 2019 under pressure from FIFA, the governing body for international football and its Asian counterpart the Asian Football Confederation (AFC).

FIFA had warned Iran’s football federation that it could face expulsion from global tournaments including the World Cup if women were not allowed to attend.

Female fan of Tractor FC at Tehran's Azadi Stadium
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Female fan of Tractor FC at Tehran's Azadi Stadium

Despite the policy change, opposition festers.

In March 2022 women who had bought tickets for a FIFA World Cup qualifier between Iran and Lebanon in the religious city of Mashhad were pepper sprayed when they tried to enter the stadium.

Women are still not permitted to attend all matches. Local authorities frequently cite what they call insufficient preparation, such as the lack of designated seating areas for women as a reason for their exclusion.

When women are allowed, the number of tickets available to them is often limited, and female enforcement officers in black chadors are present to ensure compliance with mandatory hijab laws.

Nevertheless, footage and photos posted on social media show defiance of the hijab is widespread.

Hijab enforcers and female fans at Tehran's Azadi Stadium
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Hijab enforcers and female fans at Tehran's Azadi Stadium

The hardline newspaper Kayhan, closely linked to the office of Iran’s Supreme Leader, criticized the decision to allow women into stadiums. On Thursday, the daily accused proponents of the change of “implanting the idea that women’s success and dignity lie in imitating men’s behavior and attire.”

Kayhan’s criticism followed the release of footage showing female fans at a match between Tractor FC and Persepolis FC on Wednesday in which both male and female fans were seen cheering and occasionally swearing.

Kayhan argued that women’s presence has not improved what it described as the “poisonous and unhealthy atmosphere” of stadiums. It said it has led to violations of what it called women’s dignity, a “fundamental principle in Iranian and Islamic culture," according to the hardline paper.

Official poster of Offside, a 2006 film about women trying to watch a football game disguised as men
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Official poster of Offside, a 2006 film about women trying to watch a football game disguised as men

Iranian authorities have long justified the ban on women’s attendance as a measure to protect them from exposure to profanities often chanted by male fans, even if women were seated in separate sections of the stadium.

Over the years, some women have taken significant risks to watch matches. Disguised as men, they attempted to enter stadiums but were often caught, arrested, abused or even sentenced to prison terms.

The ultra-hardline outlet Mashregh News also criticized FIFA President Gianni Infantino, suggesting he should have attended the Wednesday game week to understand the authorities’ stance against women’s presence in stadiums.

Infantino has consistently pressured Iran on this issue, particularly after the tragic case of Sahar Khodayari.

In September 2019, Khodayari, nicknamed the Blue Girl after her favorite team Esteghlal FC (nicknamed the Blue Team), set herself on fire after being sentenced to jail for attempting to enter Tehran’s Azadi Stadium disguised as a man.

This issue has also been reflected in art and media. Jafar Panahi’s 2006 film Offside depicted the story of young women disguising themselves as boys to watch a World Cup qualifying match at Azadi Stadium. The film won the Silver Bear at the Berlin International Film Festival but was never approved for screening in Iran.

Tehran more ready than ever for US talks, commentators say

Jan 31, 2025, 12:16 GMT+0
•
Behrouz Turani

Infighting persisted among rival factions in Tehran over possible US talks after Ali Khamenei gave an implicit green light earlier this week, though with caveats reflecting his recurrent distrust of America.

At the same time, some of the key politicians who opposed the idea of negotiations with the United States have been realigning their stances and shifting their loyalties.

The conservative Jomhouri Eslami newspaper described the past week as marked by an intensifying war of words between supporters and opponents of negotiations aimed at addressing Iran's economic and foreign policy impasse.

The daily wrote: “Supporters of negotiations argue Iran cannot permanently cut ties with one of the world's major powers. They point to China and Russia, which have long-standing rivalries and conflicting interests with the US yet maintain relations. Likewise, they contend, Iran can engage with the United States and other nations—except those with illegitimate governments—without being vulnerable to coercion.”

"This group of politicians believes Iran must reconsider its foreign policy to better serve its own interests. On the other hand, opponents of negotiations, who are at the center of the recent infighting, argue that Iran should have no relations with the United States, as nothing justifies talks with Washington," the Jomhouri Eslami wrote, adding, "The opponents of negotiations with America insist that the United States is not trustworthy and that its officials do not honor their commitments."

The daily noted that this group organized rallies in Tehran over the past week to protest negotiations and their supporters. However, it added that statements from Iranian officials throughout the week suggest the country is more inclined than ever to pursue talks with the United States.

The daily added, "If this is the case, there is hope for a breakthrough in Iran's foreign relations that could lead to an improvement in Iranians' livelihood."

The commentary was part of the daily's weekly roundup in a tumultuous week of infighting and shifting alliances, including divisions within the conservative camp.

The conservative Nameh News website described an ongoing and unresolved rivalry between Majles Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and former Supreme National Security Council secretary Saeed Jalili.

The reformist, pro-government daily Etemad linked the disputes between the two politicians to their rivalry in past and recent presidential elections. In the June 2024 election, Ghalibaf withdrew his candidacy in favor of Masoud Pezeshkian, ultimately helping pave the way for Pezeshkian's victory in the runoff. According to Nameh News, the two politicians maintain opposing views about negotiations with the United States.

The website noted that, unlike Jalili, Ghalibaf does not oppose negotiations but believes Iranian negotiators should first align on their definitions and demands. However, it observed that Jalili and his supporters, particularly in the ultraconservative Paydari Party, oppose any form of talks between Iran and the United States.

"Jalili believes that Iran and the United States are fundamentally at odds, positioned as opposing forces by nature. He argues that escalating tensions between the two can serve as a means to restrain the other side," the website wrote.

As a result of the dispute, Ghalibaf—who has repeatedly shifted his loyalties over the past six months, moving between the Paydari camp and Pezeshkian's supporters—has once again aligned himself with the latter, Nameh News concluded.

Widening divisions are also emerging between pro-Pezeshkian reformists and the conservative faction. Ayatollah Mohsen Gharavian, a former ultraconservative who has joined the Reformists, insisted in an interview with Khabar Online that "the only way to end the sanctions is negotiating with global powers." He accused Jalili of mobilizing vigilantes in the streets against negotiations and argued that "he should distance himself from the radicals if he was not behind the rallies."

Meanwhile, Mohammad Karbasi, a hardline cleric in Qom, the center of the Shiite Seminary, accused reformist cleric Mohammad Ali Abtahi of "having a plan to instigate riots in the streets" after Abtahi recently stated in a post on X that "Iran's economy is affected by the impact of the sanctions" and that "negotiations can have a positive impact on Iran's economy if we have competent diplomats."

A young Iranian's plight in Turkey underscores horrors of refugee life

Jan 31, 2025, 07:00 GMT+0
•
Negar Mojtahedi

35-year-old Iranian refugee Sina Rostami, who is detained in a Turkish deportation camp for not having proper documentation, is routinely awakened in the morning with the strike of a jailer's baton.

Sina is the portrait of the Iranian youth. Opposed to the theocratic establishment, he dreams of a better life in the West, but what he has experienced in his pursuit of freedom illustrates the grim reality of what many Iranian refugees face.

“The way they treat us here is like we’re not humans,” said Sina, speaking to Iran International.

Sina’s sleeping quarters that he shares with six people and the washrooms have no lights. Sina said he often has to wait 12 to 14 hours before he is permitted to recreation outdoors.

“I wasn’t even registered for food (rations) until recently and other Iranians would bring me food—which is not really edible anyway,” he said.

At the height of the Woman, Life, Freedom uprisings sparked by the death of young woman Mahsa Jina Amini in Iranian morality police custody in September 2022, Sina was one of tens of thousands of demonstrators arrested.

Sina described 18 days of interrogation, saying the night before his transfer to Tehran's notorious Evin prison that he was threatened with death unless he confessed. The next day he was blindfolded and threatened more.

"Prepare for your execution. Write your will if you have anything to say," Sina said his Iranian interrogators told him in prison.

However, he believes the threats of execution were part of their psychological torture. He was released from prison a few weeks later.

Sina felt life wasn't safe anymore after being released and decided two years later it was time to leave his homeland for new beginnings - but what awaited him was worse, he said.

Smugglers and victimizing refugees

After escaping Iran on a perilous journey in June 2024, Sina initially sought refuge in Turkey. He and a friend paid to make their way to Greece en route to the West when he was detained by Greek authorities.

Sina said he and his friend from Iran were searched by two armed men, wearing what he described as commando fatigues. They were then forced onto a pickup truck where they were dropped off at police headquarters.

After being questioned by Greek police, Sina said authorities bundled him and his friend onto another truck manned by a group of masked men. Sina said they were smugglers.

They were beaten with metal pipes, he said, and what happened next left Sina scarred for life. Sina said he was gang raped by the smugglers.

It happened at gunpoint, Sina said, adding that his hands were tied behind his back.

The smugglers took him and other refugees across the Evros River and back into Turkey to Istanbul.

Sina’s therapist, Azadeh Afsahi who was put in touch with him through other Iranian dissidents aware of his case, has been connecting with him since he was smuggled back into Turkey in June.

Sina was staying in insect-infested, illegal hostels until he was caught by Turkish authorities while trying to see a lawyer to legally leave the country.

“The trauma that he is enduring every day and now that he was put in camp in this deportation camp, all of those memories are coming back to him,” Afsahi told Iran International. “He is diagnosed with Post Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) and severe depression. He has nightmares. He can't sleep."

Afsahi, who is of Iranian origin and lives in California, said Sina’s life is in danger either by suicide or death at the hands of Iranian authorities should he be repatriated. She communicates with Sina by telephone.

“He has suicidal thoughts. He is very depressed," said Afsahi who made the assessment of Sina as a clinical therapist.

"I have his permission to talk about this. Usually, I don't talk about what's happening in therapeutic sessions because it's against confidentiality. But the reason I'm talking right now is because his life is in danger," she added.

The conditions in the deportation camp only further put his life in peril, and he feels unsafe in that environment, fearing he could become a victim of sexual assault again, according to Afsahi.

"He thinks that is going to happen again," added Afsahi.

Sina is speaking out, using his real name to raise awareness on the plight of Iranian refugees. It's a rare move as most Iranian refugees are too afraid to come forward given their precarious situation.

39,000 Iranians were registered as refugees in Turkey in 2019, according to the United Nations Refugee Agency.

Afsahi advocates to help save Sina's life and to push for change.

"For the three years that I've been working with the refugees in Turkey, the government is resembling the Islamic Republic, said Afsahi "I want the curtains to be open so we can see what the Turkish government is doing to the Iranian refugees."

Afsahi feels Sina's status under international and Turkish law as a refugee is being ignored.

In the meantime, Sina's life hangs in the balance, not knowing how much longer he has to live in the camp or if he could possibly be deported back to Iran.

"I want people to know what is happening that's why I am allowing my voice and name to come out," said Sina.