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US Could Be Drawn Into War With Iran, Biden Warns

Apr 18, 2024, 06:57 GMT+1Updated: 17:07 GMT+0
US President Joe Biden
US President Joe Biden

The United States could get into war with Iran if Tehran launches a major attack on Israel, Joe Biden has said, amid a cacophony of threats and counter-threats from officials in Tehran and Jerusalem.

In an op-ed for Wall Street Journal Wednesday, President Biden called on the US Congress to pass military aid for Israel to ensure that it’s “fully stocked and ready” to defend herself.

“If Iran succeeds in significantly escalating its assault on Israel, the US could be drawn in,” Biden warned. “Israel is our strongest partner in the Middle East; it’s unthinkable that we would stand by if its defenses were weakened and Iran was able to carry out the destruction it intended this weekend.”

President Biden has been trying hard since October 7 to avert a full-scale war in the Middle East, exhausting overt and covert diplomatic channels to restrain Israel and Iran. His job has become much more difficult since April 13, when the Iranian regime launched more than 300 drones and missiles towards Israel in response to the bombing of one of its buildings in the Damascus embassy, which killed the IRGC’s top commander in Syria and his deputy.

In the past few days, officials in both Israel and Iran have hardened their rhetoric, uttering threats that seem to get more severe by the day.

On Wednesday, Israel’s finance minister Bezalel Smotrich said that Israel’s response to Iran’s attack should inflict a “disproportionate toll” and “rock Tehran” so that the leaders of the country “regret the moment they even thought about firing”.

Smotrich is the leader of the far-right Religious Zionism party, He is not a member of the war cabinet, but wields considerable power because a ‘coalition deal’ means he is technically also a minister in Israel’s defense ministry. Speaking to Israel’s Army Radio (GLZ), he called for an Israeli retaliation that would make the Iranian regime “realize they shouldn’t mess with” Israel. “This is the language spoken in the Middle East,” he said.

In Tehran, President Ebrahim Raisi proved that this was indeed the language spoken in the Middle East. Even the “tiniest” Israeli attack on Iran, he said at a military parade, would bring “a severe and harsh response.” The IRGC commander in charge of missiles and drones, Amir Ali Hajizadeh, seconded the president. Asked by a reporter if they would strike Israel again if they retaliate against Iran's attack, he said “one-hundred percent.”

But this wasn’t the end. There were more threats to come from Israel.

Former director of intelligence at Mossad, Zohar Palti, suggested in an interview that targeting nuclear facilities can be an option. “Everything is on the table right now,” he told the British broadcaster Sky News. Asked whether that included targeting nuclear facilities, he said, “including everything.”

Palti is not an Israeli official. But Smotrich is. So are Raisi and Hajizadeh and many more voices on both sides calling for severe measures to establish ‘deterrence.’

The Biden administration –and other world leaders to a lesser extent– will have a difficult task de-escalating a situation that seems to be getting more tense by the day.

The US and the EU have announced their intention to impose more sanctions related to Iran, targeting those individuals and entities that help Tehran's destabilizing activities. However, that the effective way to exert pressure is to enforce the oil export sanctions already in place that the Biden administration has not pursued vigorously.

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Netanyahu Asserts Autonomy As Allies Urge Restraint On Iran

Apr 18, 2024, 01:36 GMT+1

After a meeting with the British and German foreign ministers, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that Israel will make its own decisions regarding its response to Iran's missile and drone attacks.

"I thank our friends for their support for Israel's defense, both in words and in deeds. They also have various proposals and advice, which I appreciate, but I want to clarify that we will make our own decisions. The State of Israel will do whatever is necessary to defend itself…,” Netanyahu said.

British Foreign Secretary David Cameron and German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock had traveled to Jerusalem amid the escalating tensions between Iran and Israel,

Experts say their visit was likely intended to express solidarity following Iran's attack on Israel and to discuss the ongoing war in Gaza, including the humanitarian aid situation.

While Cameron emphasized the importance of minimizing escalation and ensuring a “smart” approach, he told reporters after the meeting that “it's clear the Israelis are making a decision to act".

The British Foreign Secretary also wrote on X that during the meeting he told the Israeli Prime Minister that they “must maintain [their] focus on getting more aid into Gaza and getting hostages out".

Echoing those comments, Baerbock reiterated Germany's solidarity with Israel while she cautioned against escalation, stating that “everyone must now act prudently and responsibly”.

“A spiraling escalation would serve no one, not Israel’s security, not the many dozens of hostages still in the hands of Hamas, not the suffering population of Gaza, not the many people in Iran who are themselves suffering under the regime, and not the third countries in the region who simply want to live in peace,” Baerbock said.

Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi meanwhile threatened that even the slightest incursion into Iran would trigger severe retaliation, like increasing the diplomatic pressures on Israel to avoid a major escalation.

Speaking today at Iran’s annual Army Day, which was relocated to a barracks without any explanation from the authorities, Raisi warned that even the "tiniest invasion" by Israel would be met with a "massive and harsh" response from Iran.

G7 foreign ministers are also meeting this week in Italy to discuss targeted sanctions against Iran and are widely expected to issue a joint plea urging Israel to show restraint in its response to Iran.

Italian Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani, who is hosting the talks, told AFP that the ministers were "working" on implementing some form of sanctions against Iran.

The US, Israel's key ally, has similarly pledged to impose further sanctions in the coming days.

Iran's Hijab Clampdown Draws Condemnation From Jailed Activists

Apr 17, 2024, 23:53 GMT+1

Iran's recent crackdown on hijab rules has sparked outrage and drawn condemnation from women's rights advocates and prominent Iranian figures.

The denouncements follow reports of widespread arrests and police violence throughout the country.

Prominent Iranian scholar and university professor, Sedigheh Vasmaghi, denounced her arrest for defying mandatory hijab laws.

Currently imprisoned in Tehran's Evin Prison, Vasmaghi, in a message dated April 2024, condemned the authorities' actions as "antipatriotic and against national interests."

"Ordering engagement with people, particularly women, for a specific reason like hijab enforcement is not only unpatriotic and unforgivable, but also detrimental to the nation's well-being," Vasmaghi's message from prison reads. "The inevitable consequences of this order will undoubtedly fall on those who issued it and those who carry it out."

Jailed Iranian human rights activist and Nobel laureate, Narges Mohammadi, joined the chorus of condemnation. "Desperate to mask its crumbling legitimacy and failing authority," she asserted from Evin Prison, "the Islamic Republic has transformed the streets into a battleground against women and youth, wielding fear and intimidation as weapons."

Mohammadi further emphasized that the regime's "shameful domestic domination and brute force" are a pathetic attempt to compensate for its "weak and absurd claims" on the world stage. "The ongoing civil disobedience and brave resistance of Iranian women in the streets," she concluded, "have shaken the foundations of the Islamic Republic."

Iran Will Circumvent Upcoming Sanctions, Says IRGC-Affiliated Media

Apr 17, 2024, 21:36 GMT+1

In response to impending US and EU sanctions against Tehran, Tasnim, a news outlet affiliated with the IRGC, asserted that Iran will continue to evade the sanctions.

Following Tehran's attack on Israel over the weekend, sanctions against Iran are expected to be imposed in the coming days.

In a report titled "New sanctions, fake or real?" published on Wednesday, Tasnim stated that the new sanctions on Iran would be ineffective.

"The severity of the sanctions imposed over the years, especially in the last decade, has been at its highest level, and the Iranian economy has learned resilience and methods of circumventing these sanctions well," Tasnim’s report read.

Tasnim itself was sanctioned last year by the US, in connection “with the Iranian regime’s violent suppression of nationwide protests following the death of Mahsa ‘Zhina’ Amini.”

In a response to Iran’s attack, the US House of Representatives passed legislation aimed at countering China’s purchase of Iranian crude oil as part of a package of bills being brought to the floor.

Tasnim’s report claims that the demand for Iranian oil from major manufacturing countries like China acts as a constraint on Washington's ability to enforce new oil sanctions against Iran.

In the past months, Iran has heavily relied on exporting millions of barrels from floating storage to boost its oil exports to Beijing.

Earlier this week, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen addressed Iran's ongoing oil exports despite US sanctions, stating that "...there may be more that [the US] can do".

The head of the Iran-Iraq Chamber of Commerce, Yahya Ale Eshaq, told Tasnim that the talk of increased sanctions is more of a psychological game and that given the risk of higher oil prices, "the Americans will not have much power" to impose sanctions.

Iran Prepares For Possible Israeli Retaliation

Apr 17, 2024, 18:55 GMT+1

After Iran's missile and drone attack aimed at Israel over the weekend, the country is bracing for possible retaliatory attacks either on its territories or proxies.

This comes after the Iranian government had made preparations to safeguard their assets, which included activating the air force for possible strikes, and deployment of navy escorts for commercial Iranian ships in the Red Sea.

In addition, the Wall Street Journal reports that they are in the process of evacuation at Iranian bases within Syria, especially where the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) predominantly resides.

After launching more than 350 drones and missiles, officials in Israel warned of a counter strike without specifying what kind of response is to be expected.

The US, along with European nations, has urged Israel to refrain from retaliation that could escalate tensions further.

German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock and Britain’s former Prime Minister David Cameron had separate meetings Wednesday with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, in which they echoed a message of de-escalation.

The Biden administration also plans to shore up the diplomatic effort with new economic sanctions on the IRGC and its economic links to Iran's missile and drone programs.

On the military front, it is reported that Iran ordered emergency protocols, especially in Syria, where the IRGC and Hezbollah have adjusted their presence and heightened security measures in anticipation of potential Israeli strikes.

Tehran also indicated that it would respond to any Israeli attack. “The smallest action against Iran’s interests will definitely be met with a severe, extensive and painful response against all its perpetrators,” Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi said.


RSF Urges UK To Bolster Protection For Iranian Journalists

Apr 17, 2024, 17:47 GMT+1
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Iran International Newsroom

Weeks after Iran International TV host Pouria Zeraati was stabbed in London, Reporters Without Borders (RSF) is urging the UK to step up its protection of Iranian journalists.

In its report released on Wednesday, RSF called on the government to take all necessary measures to ensure the safety of Iranian journalists who are targeted with a “chilling and far-reaching threat” from Iran.

The investigation into the attack on Zeraati is being headed by the Metropolitan Police's Counter Terrorism Command, due to previous threats towards Iran International’s journalists.

In its report, the press freedom watchdog documented a rise of transnational threats faced by Iranian journalists working and living in the UK.

While the report found that Iranian journalists working abroad often face intimidation or harassment, including in the US, France, Germany, Sweden, and the UK, London is considered a "hotspot" for such attacks – given the number of prominent Persian-language broadcasters in the city.

The Iranian government has long threatened Iran International, with several journalists at the network facing imminent threats of attacks in the years 2022 and 2023.

The news network's offices were temporarily relocated from London to Washington last year after threats escalated to a level that domestic security services could no longer guarantee the safety of the staff.

According to the RSF report, almost 90% of Iranian journalists surveyed had experienced online threats or harassment in the past five years, including death and rape threats.

Families of journalists also routinely faced threats from Iranian authorities.

Approximately 60% of respondents in the report said that their families had been threatened, including being called in for interrogations, applying economic penalties, such as asset freezes or job losses, removing passports, travel bans, surveillance, tapping phone calls, and detentions.

The report also revealed that there are deficiencies in the support provided to journalists by law enforcement and social media platforms, partly because their plight is perceived as a “foreign priority, rather than domestic.”

The majority of journalists said they had negative experiences when they reported attacks to police, who did not understand the context or gravity of the threats they faced.

Only 13% of respondents reported abuse to the police over the past five years, with many considering it “a waste of time”.

Although online threats and harassment are high, journalists who report online abuse have overwhelmingly negative responses.

According to many respondents, complaints made to social media platforms were ignored or dealt with unsatisfactorily.