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IRGC Backs Iran Majles Speaker Against New Hardline Rivals

Iran International Newsroom
Mar 7, 2024, 11:11 GMT+0Updated: 10:58 GMT+0
Iran’s parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf hugging Hossein Salami, the commander-in-chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)
Iran’s parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf hugging Hossein Salami, the commander-in-chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)

Iran’s parliament speaker has found himself in a weak political position after ranking fourth in the number of votes received in elections on March 1, dominated by radical right wingers.

However, as a seasoned veteran of the IRGC and a relative of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Ghalibaf still enjoys significant political support. The editor of the IRGC-affiliated Javan newspaper in Tehran staunchly defended him against his hardline political rivals, who clearly covet his position as leader of parliament (Majles).

Gholamreza Sadeghian in an article featured in the most prominent place on the daily's Wednesday's edition particularly addressed Hamid Rasaei, a firebrand headliner, and said he and his likeminded newly elected lawmakers are neither devoted Muslims, nor have any particular expertise that would make them fit for membership in the Majles (parliament).

Hardliner politician Hamid Rasaei  (undated)
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Hardliner politician Hamid Rasaei

Since his election, Rasaei has labeled veteran politicians such as Ghalibaf and his predecessor Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel as "hypocrites" and has called for an end to Ghalibaf's leadership in the Majles.

Javan newspaper accused Rasaei of insulting the Majles, which Khamenei has referred to as "a revolutionary parliament." Additionally, Javan charged Rasaei with insulting former IRGC Qods Force Commander Qasem Soleimani, adding that Rasaei, who was previously barred from running for the Majles in 2021, lacks an understanding of Khamenei's expectations for the Majles and its lawmakers.

The daily suggested that the people have the power to remove such lawmakers from the parliament. The severity of the accusations, particularly those regarding insulting Qasem Soleimani, may indicate that the next Majles is likely to reject Rasaei's credentials.

Iran International TV called Javan's article a strong defense of Ghalibaf's leadership role in the next Majles. Iran analyst Morteza Kazemian told Iran International that this is not a conflict between political parties and their members. This is a fight between gangs that benefit from financial resources thanks to their positions in the government and Majles.

Another Iran analyst, Mehdi Mahdavi Azad also called the new MPs, the members of a cult that represent around 5 percent of Iranian voters. He said the ongoing conflict between various groups of hardliners at the parliament started as older hardliners let the genie out of the bottle and now, they find it hard to control it.

Javan also remarked that Rasaei and certain other newly elected hardliners seem to harbor the illusion that they could ascend to leadership positions within the parliament. The publication specifically accused Rasaei of coveting Ghalibaf's role and of perceiving himself as more than just a newly elected lawmaker awaiting credential approval. Furthermore, Javan criticized Rasaei's remarks about other politicians as "impolite" and potentially damaging.

Additionally, Javan recalled Rasaei's accusation against Ghalibaf, alleging that he had attained political power due to his familial ties. This reference to Ghalibaf and Haddad Adel's relationship with Khamenei was untimely and inappropriate.

During the past days verbal attacks prompted Ghalibaf to consider resigning his post as a member of the parliament. Earlier, another hardliner cleric, Alireza Panahian, had called on Ghalibaf to resign after an scandal about Ghalibaf’s son attempting to emigrate to Canada was disclosed by Iran International and on social media.

In an interview with Didban Iran website, prominent lawmaker Sharyar Heidari said on Wednesday that a few days after the latest Majles election, Ghalibaf and his political rivals started lobbying as serious contenders for the post of Majles Speaker.

Heidari said that although there seems to be a consensus about Ghalibaf's continued role as Speaker, the moves by newly elected lawmakers are likely to cause turmoil during the first weeks of the next parliament.

Over the past few days, there has been much speculation regarding Ghalibaf's political future. Centrist daily "Ham Mihan" summarized these speculations into three groups. According to "Ham Mihan," Ghalibaf may choose to continue relying on his old friends to advance his longstanding policies. However, in this scenario, he may struggle to resist the pressures from the new generation of hardline politicians.

Alternatively, his second option could involve joining forces with members of the ultraconservative Paydari Party, along with his friends and allies, to shield himself against attacks from emerging hardliners. His third option might be to form an alliance with any moderates present in the Majles, if they exist, to counter the pressures from the hardliners. Nevertheless, without support from the IRGC and Khamenei, the intensity of the hardliners' pressure could easily sideline Ghalibaf.


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Casualties Reported In Oil Refinery Explosion In Southern Iran

Mar 7, 2024, 10:47 GMT+0

Iranian state media outlets reported an explosion in a furnace of Aftab oil refinery of Bandar Abbas in southern Iran on Thursday, killing at least one and leaving several people injured.

According to the IRGC-affiliated Fars news website, two people have been taken to the hospital following the explosion.

The explosion reportedly occurred during a maintenance operation in the refinery.

The cause of the incident is still unclear, but in recent years, similar incidents have occurred at a number of Iranian nuclear, military and energy sites.

On February 15, a huge explosion occurred at a chemical factory in Shahriyar about 30 kilometers west of the capital Tehran. The event came a day after Iran's main gas pipeline network was struck by multiple explosions.

The Iranian Ministry of Petroleum attributed the explosions along gas pipelines in multiple regions of Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari and Fars provinces to sabotage operations by “destructive elements and enemy conspiracies” aimed at disrupting gas supply to major provinces.

In December 2023, a cyberattack crippled 60% of Iran’s gas stations. The attack was claimed by the hacking group "Gonjeshk-e-Darande" or Predatory Sparrow, which Iran accuses of being linked to Israel.

The group rose to prominence as a hacktivist two years ago for a similar cyberattack on fuel distribution centers across Iran on the eve of the second anniversary of the bloody suppression of the November 2019 protests. In a separate incident, they claimed responsibility for hacking the state railway company.


Activists Say UN Not Doing Enough For Women In Iran On Eve Of Women's Day

Mar 7, 2024, 10:40 GMT+0

Activists in Iran have called on the United Nations to do more for women's rights in Iran, demanding an expansion to the fact finding mission established to investigate systematic abuses and gender based violence.

US-based Human Rights Activists News Agency (HRANA) released a statement stressing the urgent need for action: "Iranian women face executions, compulsory hijab laws, and oppressive violence. It's imperative for the global community to pay attention to activists uncovering layers of injustice and pressure the Iranian government to respect women's rights."

As March 8 marks International Women's Day, the groups said "Iranian women confront deep-rooted gender inequalities amidst exploitation and violence. Despite nationwide protests and the brave resistance of Iranian women, ruling elites persist in enforcing oppressive laws".

Iran has the highest rate of female executions globally. Additionally, over the past 10 months, at least 100 girls fell victim to "honor killings" by male relatives amid family disputes.

Since protests erupted in 2022, the Iranian judiciary has increasingly targeted online activities, leading to numerous prosecutions. Compulsory hijab regulations persist, resulting in a surge of arrests, imprisonments, and severe sentences, exacerbating human rights violations.

"The systematic targeting of women by the Iranian government is evident through derogatory language and heinous acts like sexual violence," stated a human rights advocate.

Expanding the mandate to analyze structural issues underlying current and historical violations against women is vital, added the statement.


Iranian Political Prisoner Summoned After Calling Elections Engineered

Mar 7, 2024, 09:32 GMT+0

Political prisoner Mostafa Tajzadeh, held in the infamous Evin Prison, has been summoned to court again over new charges, his Telegram channel reported on Wednesday.

According to the subpoena, Tajzadeh is required to appear in court on Sunday to defend himself against the two allegations of “assembling and conspiring against national security” and “propaganda against the government.”

“I refused to receive the subpoena and announced that I would not appear in the prosecutor’s office or in court,” said the dissident reformist politician, further adding, “The judiciary can sentence me in absentia to several more years in prison, breaking its previous record of 15-year sentence handed down to me over my criticisms of the Leader.”

The summons came a day after Tajzadeh called the recent elections in Iran “engineered” and a “historic failure” of the system and the person of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.

Iranian regime media, including the IRGC-affiliated Fars news website, claimed a voter turnout of more than 40% in parliamentary and the Assembly of Experts elections on March 1, the lowest in the history of the Islamic Republic. Political activists, opposition parties and large sections of the public boycotted the event.

Tajzadeh was responsible for holding the parliamentary elections of 2000 as deputy interior minister. An outspoken critic of Khamenei since the controversial presidential elections of 2009, he has spent more than eight years behind bars since then.

Earlier in February, he accused the Supreme Leader of turning a blind eye to the nation's challenges, saying Khamenei “has closed his eyes to Iran’s disastrous realities and ignores the cries of millions of Iranians in protest.”

Iran's Succession Decided Outside Constitutional Framework, Experts Say

Mar 7, 2024, 08:04 GMT+0
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Iran International Newsroom

Iranian commentators abroad are deliberating on how the election of the new Assembly of Experts, responsible for selecting the Islamic Republic's next leader, will impact succession in Iran.

This was the focal point of discussion on Monday's edition of the Chashmandaz (Panorama) program on Iran International TV. Host Samira Gharaee engaged Iranian analysts Mehdi Mahdavi Azad, Mohammad Javad Akbarain, and Mehdi Khalaji in a discussion about whether Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has already chosen his successor or if other influential figures will have a say in the matter.

The March 1 elections saw the installment of a new Assembly of Experts (AoE), following extensive pre-election vetting that disqualified hundreds of candidates. Ultimately, there were not even two candidates for each slot when the smallest number of voters went to the polls.

The last time the Assembly decided about succession, was in 1989 when it elected Ali Khamenei as the Islamic Republic's leader. In recent years, a committee of three AoE members have been tasked with "finding" the next leader and "introducing" him to Khamenei. Committee members have said Khamenei's son Mojtaba has been one of those "found" to be fit for succession.

Mahdavi Azad observed that recent developments suggest the composition of the Assembly will have little impact on succession. The absence of influential figures within the Assembly, capable of effecting significant change, suggests that its role may be limited to rubber-stamping decisions made elsewhere.

(From left) Iranian analysts Mehdi Khalaji, Mohammad Javad Akbarain, Mehdi Mahdavi Azad    (MArch 2024)
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(From left) Iranian analysts Mehdi Khalaji, Mohammad Javad Akbarain, Mehdi Mahdavi Azad

Akbarain cautioned against accepting government-provided statistics about the Assembly elections at face value, suggesting that they may not accurately reflect the public's sentiment. While the Assembly's composition may align with the government's broader agenda, public skepticism remains regarding both the election turnout and the Assembly's makeup.

Khalaji noted that the Assembly has historically played a minimal role in determining leadership succession. He explained that the reason why totalitarian regimes such as the regime in Tehran hold elections is to control the rotation of the elite in key posts. During the past years, Khamenei has consolidated his power by controlling and weakening various institutions and their members. For instance, the president whoever he might be, poses a threat to the Supreme Leader and must be weakened.

The recent removal of former President Hassan Rouhani as a candidate, and the “defeat” of Expediency Council Chief Sadeq Amoli Larijani in the elections, underscores Khamenei's efforts to consolidate power and eliminate potential threats.

Mahdavi Azad further emphasized that while Khamenei has marginalized key figures within the political establishment, he himself has suffered a decline in influence due to the government's mismanagement of economic and social issues. The weakening of the political system has left no significant figures within the Assembly, signaling a broader deterioration of Iran's governance structure.

When discussing Khamenei's involvement in the election process, Akbarain highlighted the regime's tendency to micromanage all aspects of governance, including the Assembly of Experts elections. He cited a decree by Khamenei emphasizing his supreme authority, even in matters as trivial as the seating arrangements at meetings, or where students should have their summer camp.

Khalaji suggested that decisions regarding succession are made by entities external to the Assembly, with the IRGC playing a significant role in financing Assembly members' election campaigns. He argued that the Assembly merely legitimizes decisions made by external actors, rather than actively shaping leadership succession.

He continued that despite being a totalitarian regime with a leader that micromanages the matters, still the Islamic Republic is an intelligent system of self-preservation, otherwise it cannot survive.

Looking ahead, Khalaji predicted that Khamenei's death will not only mark the transition to a new leader but also signify a broader shift in Iran's governance structure. He suggested that while a cleric may serve as a figurehead, real decision-making power will be consolidated within a network of military and intelligence institutions operating behind the scenes.

Sweden's Supreme Court Rejects Appeal From Iranian Jailor

Mar 7, 2024, 00:08 GMT+0

Sweden's Supreme Court rejected an appeal from former Iranian prison official Hamid Nouri, who faces life imprisonment for his role in the purge of dissidents in 1988.

The decision marks the final ruling in a case that has stirred international attention.

Nouri, 62, received the life sentence from a Swedish district court in July 2022 for "grave breaches of international humanitarian law and murder." After months of legal fight, a appeals court upheld the verdict in December 2023, leading Nouri to seek recourse with the Supreme Court.

In a statement released on Wednesday, the Supreme Court affirmed its decision, stating, "The judgment of the Court of Appeal stands."

The case revolves around the execution of over 5,000 prisoners in Iran, allegedly ordered by the then-Supreme Leader Ruhollah Khomeini as retaliation against attacks by the opposition group, the Mojahedin-e-Khalq (MEK), towards the end of the Iran-Iraq war (1980 –1988).

Under the principle of universal jurisdiction, Sweden prosecuted Nouri for his role, finding that he had served as a deputy prosecutor in a Tehran-area prison, facilitating the execution process.

Arrested on November 6, 2019, at Arlanda Airport in Stockholm, Nouri had dismissed all allegations related to the 1988 executions, labeling the events and charges against him as a "fictional, imaginary, and fabricated story."

The "Death Commissions" in 1988 followed the issuance of a fatwa by Khomeini, ordering the execution of thousands of political and ideological prisoners in the prisons of Iran. The executions were carried out secretly, and burial orders were issued for mass graves.

Some other people involved in the crime currently hold key positions within the Islamic Republic, including Ebrahim Raisi, the President of Iran, who previously served as the head of the judiciary and was a member of the Death Commissions in Tehran and Karaj.

Additionally, in April 2022, as Nouri's trial unfolded, Iran detained Johan Floderus, a Swedish citizen working for the EU's diplomatic service, on espionage charges. Floderus, 33, now faces the death penalty.

Critics have condemned Iran's actions, labeling them as "hostage diplomacy." Floderus' parents have urged the Swedish government to negotiate a prisoner exchange, offering Nouri in return for their son's release.