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Poverty Doubled In Iran In One Year - Welfare Ministry

Iran International Newsroom
Jan 2, 2023, 17:37 GMT+0Updated: 17:31 GMT+1
Iranians in a market
Iranians in a market

The Islamic Republic’s Ministry of Cooperatives, Labor, and Social Welfare has warned of a whopping number of middle-class Iranians plunging into poverty in the past few years. 

According to a report published by ILNA on Monday, one-third of the country’s population is now living in extreme poverty, after the number almost doubled in one year from 2020 to 2021. 

It also said that the minimum monthly income needed to stay above the poverty line for a family of four in the previous Iranian year (starting March 21) in Tehran was estimated at 147,000,000 rials (about $500 at the time) and the average for the entire country is estimated to have been about 77,000,000 (about $250). The average for one person is reported to have been about 16,820,000 (about $55). 

Although the figures seem far from the realities of life for the people, the data indicate a 50-percent rise in comparison with those of a year earlier, announced by the same source. The report claimed that the figures are extracted from the available data that pertain to the previous Iranian year. 

Since then, inflation has risen to almost 50 percent and the national currency has dropped by about 50 percent.

Iran intends to set the minimum monthly salary for the next Iranian year (starting March 21) at 56 million rials, which is about $140 at today’s exchange rate. Iran has one of the lowest minimum wages in the world, but salaries were increasing from 2000-2010 when the minimum wage hit a record high of about $275 in 2010. This coincided with the time when the United Nations Security Council began imposing sanctions to force Tehran to roll back its nuclear program.

A poor woman living on the outskirts of Tehran without shelter (file photo)
100%
A poor woman living on the outskirts of Tehran without shelter

The report also said that about one million jobs were lost in the Iranian year corresponding with 2020 due to the Covid-19 pandemic but some jobs were restored in the following year. 

Moreover, the average per capita intake of calories – one of the indices of poverty -- has fallen from 2,700 kcal in 2011 to below 2,200 kcal in 2021 due to a very high inflation rate, particularly for food items. 

According to a recent report by EcoIran website, as the government lifted import subsidies for essential goods in April 2022, food prices jumped an average of 67.7 percent compared with the same period in the previous year. Food inflation is recorded at above 70 percent in 12 provinces, putting them in a red category, referring to a very critical condition.

In December, member of parliament Behruz Mohebbi-Najmabadi, a member of parliament’s budget committee, said about 20 million people are struggling with extreme poverty, suggesting that about one-fourth of the country’s population are destitute. He mentioned Iran’s zero economic growth in more than a decade as the main reason.

According to official figures released by the interior ministry, in total, around 60 percent of the 84 million Iranians live under the relative poverty line of whom between 20 to 30 million live in "absolute poverty". In 2010, for instance, the number of those living under the absolute poverty line was around 10 million according to government statistics.

Economic failures of the regime are becoming more and more difficult to justify, even given US sanctions. "The main reason for the [economic] problems [in the past ten years] is not just the sanctions. A major part of these were caused by wrong decisions and inefficiency," Supreme leader Ali Khamenei admitted in a speech last year.

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Air Quality On 'Purple Alert' In Tehran

Jan 2, 2023, 11:53 GMT+0

Air quality in the Iranian capital Tehran has deteriorated further on Monday with two regions designated as “very unhealthy” zones for all age groups.

Tehran Air Quality Control Company announced Monday that the air quality index (AQI) in district 11 and 19, both in southern Tehran was reported to be 205, meaning it is very unhealthy for all age groups.

The average air quality in Tehran on Monday was at 165 meaning that in addition to these two zones, the air quality in 26 other spots in Tehran has become unhealthy for everyone.

Iran resorts to burning mazut, a highly polluting fuel, for electricity generation in winter because of natural gas shortages, although it has the world’s second largest deposits.

The World Air Quality Index has turned the color for Tehran to “purple” meaning that it is one stage above “red”.

Iran’s Meteorological Organization asked the residents of Tehran to avoid "unnecessary trips and physical and sports activities outdoors".

Tehran's air pollution deteriorated since a few days ago with some officials speaking about the increase of sulfur dioxide in the air.

The Air Pollution Emergency Committee met Friday and decided to suspend in person education in schools because of the high levels of air pollution in the capital and several other cities.

The police have once again run the odd-even car commute scheme to curb air pollution levels in Tehran.

According to reports on social media, in the current situation, asthma inhalers are also rare in pharmacies and patients suffering from the disease have faced problems.

270 Cities In Iran Facing Critical Water Shortage: Official

Jan 1, 2023, 17:23 GMT+0

An Iranian official has confirmed that 270 cities and towns are suffering from acute water shortage as water levels at dams have dropped to critically low levels.

CEO of Iran Water and Wastewater Company, Atabak Jafari issuing the warning on Sunday added that the price of water for subscribers would be increased in the coming year.

He justified the increase by saying that “this is not to boost the income of the government, but it is rather to correct the consumption pattern.”

IRNA quoted Jafari as saying that the drought in the last three years is the reason why water reservoirs feeding cities and towns are near empty.

The worsening of the water crisis, caused by global climate change, combined with the inefficient management of the Islamic Republic, has led experts to warn about possible social and political crises.

Water reservoirs in Iran are at an all-time low, threatening nationwide rationing soon, local media and officials say.

Khorasan daily said last week that water behind 10 important dams have decreased 25 to 75 percent in comparison to the average in previous years.

Ten days into winter, figures show that the level of precipitation has been extremely low in different provinces of Iran.

According to latest official statistics of Iran Water Resources Management Company, the total water reserves are about 18 billion cubic meters, and on average, about 63% of the country's dams are empty.

Iran's Rial Recovers Some Lost Ground As New Bank Chief Intervenes

Dec 31, 2022, 15:25 GMT+0
•
Mardo Soghom

Iran’s battered currency regained 10 percent of its value Saturday after a new central bank chief assumed office following a drop to historic lows in December.

The US dollar dropped to below 400,000 rials from a high of 440,00 earlier this week, a 10-percent gain for the Iranian currency that has fallen more than 10-fold since 2018.

The new central bank chief Mohammad-Reza Farzin announced the bank’s intervention in the market as he began his first official day at work.

“The exchange rate in the open market is exaggerated,” he claimed, although an apparent massive infusion of dollars was needed to reverse rial’s precipitous decline. He added that economic fundamentals do not justify the currency’s fall, insisting that Iran sold $36 billion of oil in the past nine months.

Farzin did not explain why the rial has fallen to unprecedented lows if the country is flushed with hard currency, but he vowed “appropriate intervention” in the market to support the rial.

Even with Saturday’s rise, the currency is still 30 percent lower than in August and almost 50 percent less than in mid-2021, when the current hardliner president Ebrahim Raisi was elected and appointed other hardliners to top positions.

Rial’s current wave of decline began in early 2018 when the United States decided to withdraw from the Obama-era nuclear accord with Iran, known as the JCPOA and impose ‘maximum pressure’ sanctions. The country’s oil exports, its economic lifeline, and international banking came under US third-party sanctions, meaning that any company or country violating the restrictions could itself come under US sanctions.

The rila which was then around 34,000 to the dollar began to fall, with the government forced to offer cheap foreign currency to importers of essential goods, to protect people from an inflationary shock.

The government’s fixed-rate 42,000 rials for one dollar soon became a source of abuse by people who claimed to be importing essential goods, like food or raw materials, and instead imported luxury cars or simply turned around and sold the cheap dollars on the free market making huge profits.

The government began restricting the availability of dollars at 42,000 rials and earlier this year completely ceased the practice, saving around $15 billion annually, but accelerating food price inflation. In effect an important subsidy was removed, raising food, animal feed and medicine prices.

Following this inflationary shock, in early September talks with the US and its European allies to revive the nuclear deal fell apart, signaling a possible worsening of the economy. This triggered a new wave of rial’s de facto devaluation, as it fell in Tehran’s open market. Local reports also have mentioned accelerated capital flight from the country, which might have played a role in the sudden worsening of the exchange rate.

At the same time, nationwide antigovernment protests began in mid-September after Mahsa Amini, a young woman was killed in police custody. The popular uprising created a deeper feeling of instability and uncertainty.

Ali Shariati, a member of Tehran’s chamber of commerce predicted that the rial will be stabilized at 380,00-390,000 to the dollar by the government.

This might be the government’s goal, but to maintain the rial at that range, the central bank will have to continue injecting dollars into the market, a significant part of which simply leaves the country, to the tune of at least $10 billion annually.

Iran Anticipates Less Oil Income In 2023, As Global Demand Cools

Dec 31, 2022, 13:18 GMT+0

Iran’s income from crude oil exports will substantially decline in 2023, according to a report in the official government news website, IRNA.

The Islamic Republic says that its oil export revenues were around $37 billion in 2022, higher than in 2021 and substantially more than in 2020, when it sold much less oil to China.

IRNA says that because of weaker global demand in 2023, Iran’s exports are estimated to reach $27.3 billion, around $10 billion less than in 2022.

Russia hit by sanctions has significantly increased cheap oil exports to China, becoming a competitor to Iran, although they are military and political allies.

Iran plans its budget according to expected oil revenue since it covers around half of all government financial needs. This year, the government has not published its budget outline yet for the next Iranian year that starts on March 21, 2023.

Already, Iran’s currency has experienced a shocking decline since September, falling from around 310,000 rials to the US dollar to more than 400,000, because of a huge rise in the money supply as the government prints more banknotes to pay its expenses.

Tehran keeps oil export and income figures a state secret and estimates are often offered by OPEC or other international organizations. It is believed that Iran offers hefty discounts to its main customer China, which allows its small refineries to import Iranian crude despite United States sanctions.

A drop in oil in 2023 will have a significant negative impact on the economy, leading to more money being printed by the government and higher inflation.

Dangerous Air Pollution Envelopes Major Iranian Cities

Dec 30, 2022, 17:29 GMT+0

Air pollution in Iran’s capital Tehran and several other cities has reached alarming levels, prompting the government to issue warnings a close some schools.

Iran Meteorological Organization (IMO) on Friday ranked many urban areas as orange or red from Friday December 30 to January 1, specially in Tehran and nearby cities.

According to local media, the government continues to burn mazut at power stations, a dirty oil product banned in most countries. The country usually faces natural gas shortages in winter months, because of higher home consumption. As a result, the decaying energy sector resorts to using mazut with an immediate impact on air pollution.

IMO warned citizens that air quality in many cities is deemed to be harmful or dangerous. These include Tehran, Karaj, Esfahan, Arak and Tabriz. Local officials have demanded that the government stops using mazut, but that could lead to blackouts.

Iran has the world’s second largest natural gas deposits but is unable to boost production because of lack of capital and Western technology. Government officials have said that the country needs to invest $40 billion in modernizing and expanding its gas extraction facilities, but most are in the Persian Gulf and need Western technology.

Due to its anti-West foreign policy and an expanding nuclear program, Iran is under US sanctions and cannot borrow money or technology from most of the world.