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Use Of Dirty Fuels Jumps In Iran Due To Natural Gas Shortage

Dalga Khatinoglu
Dalga Khatinoglu

Oil, gas and Iran economic analyst

Jul 1, 2022, 16:24 GMT+1Updated: 17:34 GMT+1
Iran's number 16 gas production platform  in the Persian Gulf South Pars field
Iran's number 16 gas production platform in the Persian Gulf South Pars field

Usage of highly polluting diesel and mazut fuels in power plants jumped in Iran in 2021 on top of increases in previous years, a BP report shows.

Iranian government entities have stopped publishing information on fuel use for power generation, but the latest report from the Parliament Research Center in 2020 indicted that the use of mazut had reached 6 billion liters (around 1.6 billion gallons), or 62 percent higher than in 2017.

Mazut is a heavy, dirty fuel which is banned in most countries unless it is blended with less polluting fuels, but in Iran it is used regularly as its export market is limited.

The same report indicated that power plants in 2020 used 11 billion liters of diesel, or more than double than in 2017. In the 2020-2021 winter daily natural gas shortage reached 170 cubic meters and that led to higher usage of polluting fuels.

From 2021, all government and industry sources in Iran stopped publishing figures about usage of dirty fuels in power pants, but scattered media reports indicated that natural gas shortages had started before the winter of 2021-2022, but in the cold months it reached the unprecedented deficit of 250 million cubic meters per day.

In fact, Mehr news agency in Tehran reported in late February that Iran had again become a net diesel importer for the first time since 2014, most likely because of high diesel usage for power generation.

The chronic shortage of natural gas is noteworthy in the context of recent talk about Iran possibly supplying the much-needed fuel to Europe in the aftermath of the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

In fact, Iran needs around $50 billion in investments to increase its natural gas production, although it has the world’s second largest reserves. At the time being, United States sanctions, as well as general investment risk factors make any infusion of capital and technology highly problematic, but even in the absence of such impediments, it would take years before the country can produce enough for significant exports.

Figures in the BP report show that in 2020 Iran produced 37 terawatts of its electricity from dirty fuels, but in 2021 it reached 49 terawatts. As a result, Iran’s greenhouse gas emissions reached the historic level of 893 million tons, an increase of 4.5 percent over 2020.

Iran is the sixth highest greenhouse gas contributor in the world, afterChina, the United States, India, Japan and Russia. Germany, with an 18-times bigger economy produces 28 percent less air pollution.

The BP report also indicates Iran’s nuclear electricity generation fell by 44 percent to 2.7 terawatts, and hydroelectric power generation decreased by 36 percent, due to drought.

Iran has also lagged in solar and wind energy generation. Last year it produced a combined total of 1.8-terawatt electricity from these renewables while neighboring Turkey generated 35 times more.

Nuclear, solar, and wind electricity generation constituted just over one percent of Iran’s 358 terawatts of electricity generation in 2021.

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Satellite Image Shows Iran Building New Stealth Missile Boat

Jul 1, 2022, 14:30 GMT+1

Satellite imagery shows Iran is constructing a new stealth missile boat on the island of Qeshm in the Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf, the United States Naval Institute says. 

The USNI, a non-profit professional military forum that offers independent, nonpartisan info on security issues, published a photo of the vessel at Qeshm Madkandaloo Shipbuilding Cooperative Company shipyard on Thursday. It is visible in Airbus commercial satellite imagery shared publicly on Google Earth.

The unidentified catamaran, probably a missile boat, is seen next to another new multi-hulled missile watercraft -- a Shahid Soleimani-class missile corvette – and is characterized by a clean-angled form, appearing stealthier than earlier types. The new type bears some similarities with the Soleimani-class in overall form but is noticeably smaller, measuring about 50 meters (166 feet) long and 14 meters (46 feet) across.

The new vessel appears to lack the helipad that the Shahid Soleimani-class has, but since it is currently unfinished, it is difficult to assess the final fit. However, it does have two cut-outs in the aft deck that are indicative of pop-up missile tubes, likely for four to eight Noor or Qader anti-ship missiles, the Iranian versions of the Chinese C-802 family of sea-skimming missiles roughly equivalent to the US Harpoon and Neptune types.

Last week, IRGC Navy Commander Alireza Tangsiri said Shahid Soleimani-class missile corvette, which carries helicopters, will be added to the IRGC Navy's fleet in the near future.

Late in June, Iran repeated its tactic of harassing American naval vessels in the Persian Gulf, as three IRGC speedboats came dangerously close to US ships.

Iraq Says Baghdad Hosting Iran’s Talks With Jordan And Egypt

Jul 1, 2022, 13:23 GMT+1

The Iraqi foreign minister announced Thursday that Iran’s negotiations with Jordan and Egypt have started with the mediation of the Iraqi government in Baghdad.

Fuad Hussein made the remarks during an interview with the Saudi Al-Arabiya television, without giving any further details. There were no comments from Cairo and Amman on the report. 

Diplomatic representation between Egypt and Iran is at the level of interest section offices since the two countries severed ties following the 1979 Islamic Revolution. 

Hussein called for turning the talks between Tehran and Riyadh into a “declared dialogue”, adding that the focus of Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kadhimi's visit to Saudi Arabia last Saturday was the dialogue between Riyadh and Tehran, where he went the following day.

Despite all speculations and expectations, Kadhimi’s visit led to no tangible results as the visiting Iraqi premier and Iranian president did not announce any news about Tehran-Riyadh talks during their joint press conference.

Iran and Saudi Arabia -- which are locked in proxy conflicts around the region -- have held several rounds of talks in the Iraqi capital Baghdad since 2021.

It was the Islamic Republic that suspended the talks in March a day after Saudi Arabia announced it had beheaded 81 men, including seven Yemenis and a Syrian, for “heinous crimes.” Forty-one were Saudi Shiites, Human Rights Watch reported, apparently convicted over protests.

Saudi Arabia cut ties with Iran in 2016 when mobs attacked its embassy in Tehran after Riyadh executed 47 dissidents including the leading Shiite cleric Sheikh Nimr al-Nimr.

Members Of Iran’s Hit Squad Nabbed In Turkey Brought Before Judge

Jun 30, 2022, 23:23 GMT+1

Turkish media published new details about the foiled Iranian attack against Israelis in Istanbul, saying that seven of the eight suspects were brought before a judge to extend their remand. 

The Ynet news site cited Turkish outlets as revealing that the intended target of the Iranian terror cell was Yosef Levi Sfari, Israel’s former consul general in Istanbul, who was rescued by authorities and sent back to Israel. 

According to reports, the Iranian agents were staying at the same hotel in which Levi Sfari and his partner Roni Goldberg were staying for their vacation, alleging that their other targets were Israeli tourists. "The Iranian squad was caught hot red-handed at the last minute," the reports added. 

Israeli diplomat Yosef Levi Sfari (file photo)
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Israeli diplomat Yosef Levi Sfari

Turkey's National Intelligence Organization (MIT) revealed the operation last Thursday just before the arrival of Israel’s Foreign Minister Yair Lapid to Turkey, adding that the eight, who were not all Iranian nationals, were arrested in a raid in three houses in Istanbul’s Beyoglu district a week earlier.

Israeli officials and media began issuing warnings to citizens against traveling to Turkey in the end of May, citing suspected killing or abduction plots by Iran, which has vowed to avenge the May 22 assassination of a Revolutionary Guards colonel in Tehran that it blamed on Israeli agents. 

Israel’s National Security Council lowered the threat level in its travel warning from high to medium on Tuesday.

Reports said on Wednesday that Egyptian security officials also warned Iran not to operate on Egyptian soil during recent meetings among intelligence officials.

IRGC Chief's Remarks Show High Level Of Concern Over Infiltration

Jun 30, 2022, 21:47 GMT+1
•
Maryam Sinaiee

In a rare move the IRGC commander-in-chief has warned about Israeli and western intelligence services’ aim to destroy the morale of their Iranian counterparts.

“The enemy wants to destroy our self-confidence, break us from within, and disillusion us, first and foremost, with ourselves,” Hossein Salami said at the inauguration ceremony of the new chief of the IRGC’s Intelligence Security (IntelSec) on Thursday.

Salami who made a rare admission of Israeli and western intelligence services’ capabilities and described them as steadfast and seasoned, claimed that despite their experience and access to complex technologies, these intelligence services have not managed to breach the barriers created by the Iranian armed forces’ intelligence security apparatuses to reach their targets in the armed forces.

Possible foreign infiltration in Iranian counterintelligence bodies, particularly by Israel, has raised alarm in Iran recently following a series of unexplained deadly attacks against IRGC officers and other breaches of security in Iran’s nuclear and military installations.

These attacks began with the highly complex assassination of Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, a key figure in Iran's nuclear program, in November 2020 near Tehran. The operation involved a one-ton remote-controlled automated weapon that had been smuggled into the country in pieces.

Israel has never officially taken responsibility for any of these assassinations and acts of sabotage but has also never denied involvement.

Israel’s alleged operations have exposed the vulnerability of Iran’s nuclear, military, and industrial facilities and individuals involved in its nuclear and missile programs, pundits say and caused confusion and suspicions of infiltration of the rank and file in security bodies.

Current presient Ebrahim Raisi at Fakhrizadeh's funeral, November 2020
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Current presient Ebrahim Raisi at Fakhrizadeh's funeral, November 2020

Such operations are apparently meant not only to harm individuals and facilities but also as psychological warfare to destroy the self-confidence of the many security bodies in charge of protecting them.

“An earthquake has taken place in Iran’s security and intelligence bodies,” Mohsen Sazegara, expatriate political dissident told Iran International.

Sazegara, one of the founders of the IRGC after the victory of the Islamic Revolution of 1979, opined that an extensive purge is likely to happen in these bodies in the coming weeks and months as they seem to have been highly infiltrated by foreign intelligence services.

Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei on Monday appointed Brigadier General Majid Khademi, former head of the Defense Ministry’s IntelSec, as the IRGC’s new intelligence security chief. The change is considered as a pivotal move by Khamenei.

Khademi’s appointment followed a series of similar high-level changes in the IRGC Intelligence Organization (SAS) last week.

Khademis predecessor, Mohammad Kazemi, was introduced by the IRGC commander-in-chief as the successor of the controversial cleric Hossein Ta’eb as chief of SAS last week.

On Saturday, two days after Ta’eb’s dismissal, which officials say was a mere shift in positions, the head of the IRGC's special unit responsible for the Supreme Leader’s protection (Sepah-e Vali-ye Amr) was also replaced.

Citing officials with close ties to the IRGC who spoke on condition of anonymity, the New York Times on Wednesday reported that Brigadier General Ali Nasiri, a senior commander in the IRGC Intelligence Security, was secretly arrested on suspicion of spying for Israel. The arrest came before the Guards’ intelligence chief, Hossein Ta’eb, was replaced after 13 years at the helm of the organization last week.

This, one of the sources quoted by the New York Times said, followed the arrest of several dozen employees of the defense ministry’s missile development program were arrested on suspicion of leaking classified military intelligence, including design blueprints of missiles, to Israel.

UK, France, Germany Call On Iran To Stop Nuclear Escalation

Jun 30, 2022, 20:08 GMT+1

The UK, France and Germany called on Iran to stop and reverse its nuclear escalation, return to full cooperation with IAEA and seize the offer on the table without further delay. 

In a Thursday statement ahead of a Security Council meeting on the implementation of resolution 2231 that endorsed the 2015 nuclear deal, the E3 said, “Unfortunately... Iran once again refused to seize the opportunity and, instead, made new extraneous and unrealistic demands,” referring to indirect Tehran-Washington talks held in Doha this week.

Criticizing Iran’s installation and use of additional advanced centrifuges and the removal of the International Atomic Energy Agency’s JCPOA-related surveillance and monitoring equipment, they said some of the most serious steps to accelerate the pace of Tehran’s nuclear program have been taken during the negotiation process aimed at returning Iran and the US to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. 

Expressing deep concerns over Iran’s increasing uranium stockpiles enriched to 20-60 percent purity, the E3 said, “Iran’s complete termination of key JCPOA-related transparency measures is therefore a particularly negative, counterproductive and provocative step, which the UN Security Council cannot remain silent on.”

They also denounced Iran’s “provocative” launch of the Zolfaqar Satellite rocket, which could be capable of delivering nuclear weapons and can be used to construct long-range and intercontinental ballistic missiles.

“We strongly condemn Iran’s continued destabilizing activity in the region and call upon Iran to stop all ballistic missile activities and proliferation inconsistent with UNSCR 2231,” they concluded.