• العربية
  • فارسی
Brand
  • Iran Insight
  • Politics
  • Economy
  • Analysis
  • Special Report
  • Opinion
  • Podcast
  • Iran Insight
  • Politics
  • Economy
  • Analysis
  • Special Report
  • Opinion
  • Podcast
  • Theme
  • Language
    • العربية
    • فارسی
  • Iran Insight
  • Politics
  • Economy
  • Analysis
  • Special Report
  • Opinion
  • Podcast
All rights reserved for Volant Media UK Limited
volant media logo

Iran's Development Model Blamed For Deepening Water Crisis

Maryam Sinaiee
Maryam Sinaiee

Iran International

Nov 6, 2021, 14:21 GMT+0Updated: 17:23 GMT+1
Ekbatan dam in Iran has lost most of its water reserve. September 16, 2021
Ekbatan dam in Iran has lost most of its water reserve. September 16, 2021

Critics blame Iran's development model, or lack of one, in the past few decades and unbalanced sectoral growth for much of the water crisis the in the country.

In an article this week headlined "Who Dried Up Iran?" the Tehran-based Fararu website attacked the development of water-intensive industries like steel for “plundering” the natural resource.

The website blamed those enjoying "rente"–a French word it used to imply privileges resulting from undue influence. "One can ask, which social groups are major benefiters of Iran's steel production and export?” the article asked. “They are naturally not the ordinary people on the streets.”

Water stress, which occurs when demand for water exceeds supply, has led to water shortage protests in affected areas, including the southwestern province of Khuzestan and the central province of Esfahan in July this year, and to tension between communities vying for water supply.

Excess apple production which has contributed to the gradual disappearance of lake Urmia
100%
Excess apple production which has contributed to the gradual disappearance of lake Urmia

Drought and global warming have led in recent years across the wider region to water shortages in Syria, in Iraq where crop production has been halved, and in Saudi Arabia, where King Salman last week asked subject to pray for rain.

Several human factors, experts say, are contributing to the worsening situation: population growth, the demands of industries, mismanagement of water resources including as their allocation to water-intensive industries, and many crops including rice and sugarcane.

With nearly 30 million tons of steel production, Iran ranked 10th globally in 2020. With 700 liters of water required to produce a kilo of steel, most Iranian steel plants are in the driest areas of the country such as Esfahan, Arak, Yazd and Kerman provinces, or areas where water stress has emerged in the past few decades such as Khuzestan.

The government has encouraged extensive agriculture to ensure food security – with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei an ardent champion − but the strategy depends on managing water stress, which can threaten not just water-intensive but other industries.

Fars news agency, which is affiliated to the Revolutionary Guards (IRGC), published Friday pictures of heaps of apples rotting alongside roads in West Azerbaijan province due to lack of demand. This year alone, Fars said, more than 100,000 tons of apples had gone to waste of the province’s production of over 1 million tons.

Yet experts say groundwater extraction and using the water of the once bountiful Zarrineh Rud − which feeds Urmia Lake − for irrigating apple trees have both contributed to the lake shrinking by nearly 95 percent in volume over the past 20 years.

With production of over 4 million tons of apples in 2019, Iran sat among the top ten producers of apples in the world. But according to the United Nation's Food and Agriculture Organization, around 700 liters of water is required to produce a kilo of the fruit.

Most Viewed

Iran negotiators ordered to return after internal rift over Islamabad talks
1
EXCLUSIVE

Iran negotiators ordered to return after internal rift over Islamabad talks

2
ANALYSIS

US blockade enters murky phase as tankers spoof signals and buyers hesitate

3
ANALYSIS

Why the $100 billion Hormuz toll revenue is a myth

4

US tightens financial squeeze on Iran, warns banks over oil money flows

5
ANALYSIS

US blockade targets Iran oil boom amid regional disruption

Banner
Banner

Spotlight

  • Hardliners push Hormuz ‘red line’ as US blockade tests Iran’s leverage
    INSIGHT

    Hardliners push Hormuz ‘red line’ as US blockade tests Iran’s leverage

  • Ideology may be fading in Iran, but not in Kashmir's ‘Mini Iran'
    INSIGHT

    Ideology may be fading in Iran, but not in Kashmir's ‘Mini Iran'

  • War damage amounts to $3,000 per Iranian, with blockade set to add to losses
    INSIGHT

    War damage amounts to $3,000 per Iranian, with blockade set to add to losses

  • Why the $100 billion Hormuz toll revenue is a myth
    ANALYSIS

    Why the $100 billion Hormuz toll revenue is a myth

  • US blockade targets Iran oil boom amid regional disruption
    ANALYSIS

    US blockade targets Iran oil boom amid regional disruption

  • Iran's digital economy battered by prolonged blackout
    INSIGHT

    Iran's digital economy battered by prolonged blackout

•
•
•

More Stories

Iranian Commentators Not So Optimistic About Outcome Of Nuclear Talks

Nov 6, 2021, 12:06 GMT+0
•
Iran International Newsroom

While nuclear talks between Iran and world powers are set to resume this month, there is little optimism among Iranian pundits about a quick, positive outcome.

News website Rouydad24 in Iran says the Raisi administration has failed in nearly all foreign negotiations during its first six months in office. The talks between Iran and Turkmenistan over the two countries' economic cooperation have been discontinued without signing even a single agreement.

The long meeting in Tehran between Afghanistan's neighbors remained fruitless and even annoyed the Taliban who were not invited to the meeting. And there are indications that the presence of individuals close to former chief negotiator Saeed Jalili in Iran's nuclear negotiating team is not likely to have any tangible result in the same way that months of negotiations led by Jalili before 2013 led to nowhere.

After Ali Bagheri-Kani Iran's chief nuclear negotiator said in a November 3 tweet that Iran has " agreed to restart the talks on November 29 in Vienna," Ali Vaez, the director of Iran Project at the Crisis Group, noted in a tweet on November 4 that Bagheri has used the word "starting" rather than "continuing" negotiations, and has called for "removing the sanctions" rather than "reviving the JCPOA."

Saeed Jalili (C) with Bagheri to his right and former UN General Secretary Kofi Annan. Undated
100%
Saeed Jalili (C) with Bagheri to his right and former UN General Secretary Kofi Annan. Undated

Rouydad24 wrote that looking at the Iranian foreign ministry's approach to the negotiations, it is unlikely that direct talks with the United States would be on its agenda. Also, it is clear that the team will be led by Bagheri, but it is still not known who else will be part of the negotiating team.

Meanwhile, Diako Hosseini, a commentator on Iran's foreign policy said in an interview that "The United States is not prepared to give Iran the guarantee Tehran wants about Washington's behavior toward Iran in the future," adding that "Plan B, that is a military strike on Iran will never happen even if the talks with Iran are not fruitful or even if such talks never start."

US President Joe Biden has spoken about Plan B if efforts to bring Iran to the negotiating table or reaching an agreement fail.

Hosseini said that the Plan B rhetoric is an outdated Trump tactic, adding that maximum pressures on Iran have led to nothing other than deepening the distrust on both sides and leading to the current impasse. He noted that based on Biden's declared policy on Iran taking an action such as attacking Iran will be impractical and catastrophic anyway.

Although some commentators in Iran and abroad have argued that sanctions have been ineffective in forcing Tehran to show flexibility, it was international sanctions that forced Iran to start nuclear negotiations in 2013.

Hosseini ruled out plan B as sheer propaganda and said he does not believe such a plan exists. He also noted that Iran might react to such measures by doing things that would make the situation even more complicated. However, he did not elaborate on Iran's possible actions.

The commentator further opined that such a plan is not likely to change Iran's position but reminded that next year the Republicans might win the majority in the US Congress and subsequently decide to leave the nuclear deal forever. This is one of the reasons Iran is after a guarantee about the continuation of the US commitment to the agreement.

Stressing that the talks to revive the JCPOA will be more difficult than the initial negotiations which led to the JCPOA, Hosseini said Tehran wishes to have the sanctions lifted, particularly the non-nuclear sanctions including restrictions on oil sales and international banking, and that is what has made returning to the talks more difficult.

However, he said negotiating, despite the existing distrust can prevent the deepening of the crisis. "Although it does not mean the talks can provide what Iran wants, yet they can be a beginning to the lifting of non-nuclear sanctions."

Republican Lawmakers Urge Biden Not To Lift Iran Sanctions

Nov 6, 2021, 09:04 GMT+0
•
Iran International Newsroom

A group of US Republican lawmakers have written to the White House expressing concern over reports that Iran was behind an attack on a US base in Syria last month.

Seventeen members of the House of Representatives in their letter urged the Biden Administration to “hold Iran accountable” for reportedly resourcing and encouraging the attack, a statement from Congressman Bryan Steil (R-WI) said Friday.

The lawmakers point to repeated attacks by Iran-backed groups on US bases in Iraq and in Syria this year and link the issue of Tehran’s behavior to talks in Vienna to revive the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, JCPOA. The Biden Administration’s policy is to revive the 2015 agreement in order to reestablish international controls over Iran’s nuclear program, but critics say that to achieve that, the United States must lift sanctions that would give Tehran more money to expand its influence in the region.

“We have continued to watch Iran attack US troops and our allies in the Middle East, while increasing its nuclear activities. These threats are ongoing, and your administration continues to weaken our ability to combat the Iranian regime by lifting US sanctions.”

Republican Representatives and Senators have written to the Biden Administration several times this year to warn against lifting the Iran sanctions. A letter in February by 15 Republicans drew Biden’s attention to “Iran’s malign activities, including its nuclear program,” missiles, as well as to its “support for terrorism, hostage taking, cyberattacks, and gross human rights violations.”

Former US president Donald Trump abandoned the JCPOA in 2018, saying it was a bad agreement that will not stop Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons in the future and demanding Iran to change its “malign behavior” in the region, as well as limit its missile development program and respect human rights.

Trump reimposed oil export and banking sanctions on Iran that had been lifted when the JCPOA was signed. This has pushed Iran’s economy to the brink of total breakdown, triggering high inflation and a large budget deficit.

The Republican lawmakers urged Biden not to reduce these sanctions, while Iran is suspected of orchestrating an attack against US troops.

“During a time of heightened tensions in the Middle East, it sends a dangerous message to our friends and adversaries that we continue to lift sanctions and negotiate with the largest state sponsor of terrorism as they attack us.”

Pirates And Commandos Feature In Iranian Tales Of Oil Seizure At Sea

Nov 5, 2021, 21:48 GMT+0
•
Maryam Sinaiee

Ahmad Alamolhoda, the Friday prayer leader in Mashhad gave a colorful account to worshippers of an alleged US attempt to "steal" Iranian oil in the Sea of Oman.

In his Friday sermon, Alamolhoda, who is President Ebrahim Raisi's father-in-law, said US “pirates” had tried to hijack an Iranian tanker and its cargo, but Iranian forces had not only freed the Iranian vessel but had also “confiscated the pirate tanker” to which the oil had been transferred.

Iran’s Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) have released a video of the incident, October 25, showing Iranian helicopters and naval speed boats taking over an oil tanker and guiding it into Iranian waters.

The IRGC claimed that the US had seized a tanker carrying Iranian oil, transferred its oil to a second tanker, but were thwarted when Iranian commandos landed, took control of the second tanker, and sailed it back to Iran. The IRGC said the US navy deployed helicopters and warships but gave up the chase.

Yet another version circulating in state media is that pirates were trying to steal the oil and the US Navy was giving them cover.

Vietnam said Thursday it was in talks with Iranian foreign ministry officials over the status of the crew of the Vietnam-flagged Sothys. American officials have claimed that the whole incident amounted to Iran seizing a Vietnamese-flagged oil tanker with US naval forces, who say they are present to escort ships through the Straits of Hormuz, just “monitoring” the situation. Around a fifth of the world’s seaborne oil passes through Hormuz.

According to TankerTrackers, Sothys has no US affiliation and in the incident on 24-25 October, just happened to sail alongside a US navy patrol before being directed to Iran by the IRGC. TankerTrackers said Sothys was returning after being denied entry by China into Longkou in July or August and was carrying oil that it had taken aboard in the anchorage of Sohar, Oman, in June.

TankerTrackers said Thursday that the Sothys had now transferred 700,000 barrels of crude to an Iranian tanker.

Iran has been shipping oil to Asian destinations despite the US threat since 2018 to take punitive action against any buyers under its ‘maximum pressure’ sanctions. China, the main importer of Iranian oil, uses various means to disguise both the origins of shipments and its payment methods, and has on occasion turned away arrivals of Iranian oil as way of placating Washington.

Much of the Iranian media celebrated Iran’s reaction to October’s alleged piracy as a US humiliation. The incident was reported on the eve of the anniversary of the Iranian students' seizure of the US embassy in Tehran on November 4 1979, celebrated as National Student Day.

On August 3 Reuters quoted a claim from three “maritime security forces” that “Iranian-backed forces” had seized a tanker off the coast of the United Arab Emirates. The vessel, owned by a company based in Dubai, was identified as the Panama-registered Asphalt Princess.

On August 4, the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO), the Royal Navy’s information service for shipping, reported that a “potential hijack incident” was “complete,” suggesting boarders had left the tanker. Iran denied any involvement as a spokesman criticized "a kind of psychological warfare…setting the stage for new bouts of adventurism.”

Baghdad Clashes Hurt 30 As Pro-Iran Groups Dispute Iraq Vote Results

Nov 5, 2021, 16:24 GMT+0

Clashes in Baghdad between Iraqi security forces and pro-Iran groups disputing the results of the October elections injured more than two dozen people Friday.

It was the first significant violent clash between government forces and parties, most of which have armed wings and are aligned with Iran, since those groups lost dozens of parliament seats after the Oct. 10 vote.

Police fired tear gas and live ammunition into the air as scores of the protesters threw stones and tried to advance towards Baghdad's fortified Green Zone, which houses government buildings and foreign embassies, security sources said.

More than 21 protesters were hurt mostly from smoke inhalation and another nine policeman injured from being pelted by stones, the hospital sources said.

The parties that made the biggest gains in Iraq's October election include that of populist Shi'ite Muslim cleric Moqtada al-Sadr, who publicly opposes Iranian interference in Iraqi politics and has called for all remaining Western troops to withdraw from the country.

The Iran-backed groups disputing the election result are also Shi'ite but follow an Iranian model of theocratic governance which the nationalist Sadr and many ordinary Iraqi Shi'ites reject.

The election result was seen as a rejection by voters of foreign influence, especially that of Iran.

Report by Reuters

Iran's Economy Is At Its 'Most Dangerous" Period In Recent History

Nov 5, 2021, 16:10 GMT+0
•
Iran International Newsroom

The Chairman of Iran-China Chamber of Commerce has warned that Iran’s economy is at its “most dangerous historical point” in the past four decades.

Majid-Reza Hariri, a businessman, who has recently issued other warnings about Iran’s economy and what he called lack of oil sales, told the Iranian Labour News Agency (ILNA) on Friday that inflation is becoming a serious threat. He argued that if the inflation rate rises above the current 50-60 percent rate, it would become much harder to control it.

In the past few months, figures issued by the Statistical Center of Iran show more than 45 percent overall annual inflation, with food prices rising by almost 70 percent compared to last year.

Iran has been delaying nuclear talks with the West since June, when it suspended multi-lateral negotiations and is expanding its nuclear program. New talks are scheduled to start at the end of November, but few believe there will be a quick outcome.

In recent weeks, many other public figures, including senior clerics, have called on the government to take urgent action in containing the current economic crisis that according to some estimates has impoverished close to 50 percent of Iran’s population.

Hariri who in the past, as openly as possible, has called for resolving Iran’s disputes with the West, reiterated that rescuing the economy needs attention to improving foreign relations.

“A great part of Iran’s economy is dependent on oil exports, and it is not possible to cure this economic addiction quickly,” Hariri said, and added that removing the US sanctions should be a priority, but no matter what Iran is willing to do, the final decision, or the other side of the coin is America. Iran cannot be the sole decider in removing the sanctions. The United States must agree.

The other policy should be to shield the economy, as much as possible, from the impact of sanctions, Hariri said, and emphasized the importance of bilateral trade with many more countries than Iran’s current seven main trading partners.

Hariri, who usually speaks like a businessman rather than a government official, said that every decision the government makes it should consider the danger of uncontrolled inflation. “Any policy that could lead to higher inflation should be eliminated,” he said. If prices rise any further, the country can face hyper-inflation, which would be difficult to overcome.

He called on the government to use a wider range of economic experts for advice on inflation and not to narrow its thinking to one group of economists. Hariri mentioned the example of former finance minister Ali Tayebniya, who in the first four years of Hassan Rouhani’s presidency (2013-2017) was able to bring a 47-percent inflation rate down to 11-12 percent.

The head of the supreme labor committee said on Thursday that a basket of essential supplies for a family of 3 has reached 115 million rials. Although in today’s exchange rate that amounts to just $425, a typical worker in Iran receives much less than $200 a month.

Amid this crisis, president Raisi is seen as just issuing orders to his aides to fix a myriad of national and local economic and infrastructure problems. His critics, even among conservatives say the new government has been in power for three months and should start to put its act together.